Week 4
Maverik Stadium

Troy @ Utah State , Week 4, Sep 26, 2026

0-0 Sun Belt Power rating: -7.1
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -6.3

Is there value in the Troy vs Utah State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
USU -5.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
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USU
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1 TROY1 USU2 TROY2 USU3 TROY3 USUModel: USU -5.3

Utah State (power rating: -6.3) holds a 0.8-point advantage over Troy (-7.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Utah State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Maverik Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Troy's long trip and the altitude at Maverik Stadium. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Troy vs Utah State at Maverik Stadium?

The latest reading for Maverik Stadium shows Clear, 62°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Troy and Utah State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah State (-6.3) over Troy (-7.1) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Utah State -5.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

62°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity23%
Wind5 mph SSE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for Troy at Utah State: aerial view of Maverik Stadium, wind from the SSE at 4.5 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 4
Kickoff (local)
05:30 PM MDT
Venue
Maverik Stadium
Capacity
25,513
Elevation
4,721 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure TroyAway Utah StateHome
This week1,582 miles0 miles
Last week1,219 miles137 miles
Season total2,801 miles1,451 miles
Body clock18:3017:30
Rest7 days7 days

Troy travels 1,582 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.