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Week 5 •
Albertsons Stadium

Utah State @ Boise State

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -6.3
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: 5.2

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Utah State vs Boise State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BOIS -14.3
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors USUfavors BOIS ▸
11.5 › BOIS
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
BOIS
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1 USU1 BOIS2 USU2 BOIS3 USU3 BOISModel: BOIS -14.3

Boise State (power rating: 5.2) holds a 11.5-point advantage over Utah State (-6.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Boise State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Albertsons Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Utah State vs Boise State at Albertsons Stadium?

The latest reading for Albertsons Stadium shows Clear, 74°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Utah State and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (5.2) over Utah State (-6.3) by 11.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Utah State and Boise State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Boise State -14.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

74°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity20%
Wind5 mph ENE
Gusts10 mph
Wind map for Utah State at Boise State: aerial view of Albertsons Stadium, wind from the ENE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 9.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
05:30 PM MDT
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Capacity
36,387
Elevation
2,723 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Utah StateAway Boise StateHome
This week257 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,091 miles
Season total1,708 miles3,780 miles
Body clock17:3017:30
Rest7 days7 days

Utah State travels 257 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.