Week 8 •
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

Utah State @ Texas State , Week 8, Oct 24, 2026

1-4 Pac-12 Power rating: -8.8
2-3 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.4

Is there value in the Utah State vs Texas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TXST -8.3
Edge
No line posted
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◂ favors USUfavors TXST ▸
6.4 › TXST
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1 USU1 TXST2 USU2 TXST3 USU3 TXSTModel: TXST -8.3

Texas State (power rating: -2.4) holds a 6.4-point advantage over Utah State (-8.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model charges Utah State's bye week and the conditions, with a slighter reading for Utah State's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Utah State vs Texas State at Bobcat Stadium (TX)?

The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Partly Cloudy, 79°F with winds of 15 mph. Wind of 15 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Utah State and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas State (-2.4) over Utah State (-8.8) by 6.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas State -8.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

79°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity78%
Wind15 mph SSE
Gusts27 mph
Wind map for Utah State at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the SSE at 15.2 mph, gusting to 26.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Utah StateAway Texas StateHome
This week1,127 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekHome game
Season total3,092 miles2,360 miles
Body clock17:3018:30
Rest14 days8 days

Utah State travels 1,127 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Utah State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.