Week 5
Amon G. Carter Stadium

BYU @ TCU , Week 5, Oct 3, 2026

0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 15.6
0-0 Big 12 Power rating: 9.4

Is there value in the BYU vs TCU line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BYU -2.9
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BYUfavors TCU ▸
‹ 6.2 BYU
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1 BYU1 TCU2 BYU2 TCU3 BYU3 TCUModel: BYU -2.9

BYU (power rating: 15.6) carries a 6.2-point advantage over TCU (9.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. TCU's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3) narrows that gap at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges BYU's bye week and the heat, with a slighter reading for BYU's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect BYU vs TCU at Amon G. Carter Stadium?

The latest reading for Amon G. Carter Stadium shows Overcast, 89°F, heat index 91°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do BYU and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor BYU (15.6) over TCU (9.4) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, TCU faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. TCU brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this BYU -2.9. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 29, 2026 Preliminary

Overcast

89°F

Rain10%
Precip0.00"
Humidity41%
Wind14 mph SSE
Gusts25 mph
Heat index91°F
Wind map for BYU at TCU: aerial view of Amon G. Carter Stadium, wind from the SSE at 13.9 mph, gusting to 24.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity
47,000
Elevation
646 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure BYUAway TCUHome
This week949 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week2,005 miles
Season total1,642 miles11,000 miles
Body clock22:0023:00
Rest14 days7 days

BYU travels 949 miles to this game, a significant road trip. BYU arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.