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North Carolina Tar Heels

By · Last updated

North Carolina Tar Heels is 4-8 on the season, 3-7-2 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +2.3. North Carolina Tar Heels is covering at just 30% this season (3-7-2), below the FBS average — a notable trend for spread bettors.

Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference
Stadium: Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Power Rating: +2.3
HFA Rating:2.2 pts
Record: 4-8
ATS: 3-7-2
O/U: 4-6-2

2025 Schedule & Results

Location
Opponent
Result / Date
ATS
O/U
vs
TCU
L 14-48
L
Over
at
Charlotte
W 20-3
Push
Push
vs
Richmond
W 41-6
Push
Push
at
UCF
L 9-34
L
Under
vs
Clemson
L 10-38
L
Over
at
California
L 18-21
W
Under
vs
Virginia
L 16-17
W
Under
at
Syracuse
W 27-10
W
Under
vs
Stanford
W 20-15
L
Under
at
Wake Forest
L 12-28
L
Under
vs
Duke
L 25-32
L
Over
at
NC State
L 19-42
L
Over

2025 Season Travel Profile

7,205 miles — ranked 53th heaviest in FBS (234 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0—20 mi20 mi
Week 1TCUHome (0 mi)20 mi
Week 2Charlotte104 mi124 mi
Week 3RichmondHome (0 mi)124 mi
Week 4UCF518 mi642 mi
Week 5—Bye
Week 6ClemsonHome (0 mi)642 mi
Week 7—Bye
Week 8California2,375 mi3,017 mi
Week 9VirginiaHome (0 mi)3,017 mi
Week 10Syracuse516 mi3,533 mi
Week 11StanfordHome (0 mi)3,533 mi
Week 12Wake Forest69 mi3,602 mi
Week 13DukeHome (0 mi)3,602 mi
Week 14NC State20 mi3,622 mi

Latest Preview (Week Recent)

Bowl Eligibility Lost

The loss drops UNC to 4-7, making them unable to reach the six-win threshold for bowl eligibility in Bill Belichick's first season.

Penalty Problems Persist

UNC committed 12 penalties for 103 yards, including three unsportsmanlike-conduct penalties in the fourth quarter, which contributed to their inability to hold a lead.

Offensive Bright Spots

Gio Lopez threw and ran for a touchdown, and Davion Gause also scored, while Jordan Shipp had eight catches for 83 yards and a 20-yard TD, showing offensive potential despite the loss.

Late Game Collapse

UNC squandered a 24-10 lead, allowing Duke to score the go-ahead touchdown on a fake field goal and then failing to convert on a final fourth-down pass, highlighting late-game execution issues.

Rivalry Struggles Continue

Belichick is now 0-2 against in-state ACC rivals, and the Tar Heels have lost consecutive games to Duke for only the third time since 1990, adding pressure for the upcoming game at N.C. State.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Power Ratings & HFA

North Carolina Tar Heels — 4-8 overall, 3-7-2 ATS, power rating +2.3.