Baylor Bears

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Baylor Bears is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +3.1. Baylor Bears enters the season with a power rating of +3.1, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Baylor Bears head to Auburn next in Week 1. In 2025, Baylor Bears went 5-7 overall, 2-10 against the spread, and 6-6 on totals.

Conference: Big 12 Conference
Stadium: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Power Rating: +3.1
HFA Rating:1.9 pts
Record: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
O/U: 0-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 0 of 2026 the Baylor Bears Power Rating of +3.1 is 2.9 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Baylor Bears have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,600 miles, ranking 46th heaviest in the FBS.

2026 Season Travel Profile

8,600 miles - ranked 46th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0Bye
Week 1Auburn756 mi1,512 mi
Week 2Prairie View A&MHome1,512 mi
Week 3Louisiana TechHome1,512 mi
Week 4ColoradoHome1,512 mi
Week 5Arizona State874 mi3,260 mi
Week 6Bye
Week 7TCUHome3,260 mi
Week 8Kansas521 mi4,302 mi
Week 9UCF974 mi6,251 mi
Week 10Iowa StateHome6,251 mi
Week 11BYU1,010 mi8,271 mi
Week 12Texas TechHome8,271 mi
Week 13Houston165 mi8,600 mi
Week 14Bye
Week 15Bye
Week 16Bye

Baylor Bears Season Outlook

New faces, high stakes on offense

Baylor enters 2026 with a completely revamped offense, headlined by former 5-star quarterback DJ Lagway. Lagway, the son of a former Baylor running back, takes over after two inconsistent seasons at Florida. He is surrounded by a largely new supporting cast: the Bears lost their top four receivers, tight end, running back, and four of five offensive line starters from last year. Key newcomers include wide receivers Louis Brown IV (redshirted last season), Jadon Porter (third year in Waco), and Dre'lon Miller (a versatile weapon from Colorado). Running back Dawson Pendergrass returns after missing 2025 with a foot injury, but the entire unit must develop chemistry quickly. The pressure is on Lagway to deliver, as head coach Dave Aranda faces a do-or-die season with no margin for error.

Defensive overhaul with a havoc mindset

First-year defensive coordinator Joe Klanderman, formerly of Kansas State, has taken over play-calling duties from head coach Dave Aranda. Klanderman's scheme emphasizes attacking and creating havoc, a direct response to Baylor's struggles generating pressure last season. The Bears added several transfer portal additions to the front seven, including defensive linemen Hosea Wheeler (Indiana), Jamaal Whyce Jr. (Marshall), Ryan Davis (Kansas State), Garrick Ponder (Southern Miss), and linebacker Kedrick Walker (Georgia State). Cornerback LeVar Thornton Jr. returns as a key piece in the secondary, while safety Devin Turner is back after missing 2025 with a torn ACL. The defense has shown flashes of brilliance on film but has been inconsistent, particularly against the run, as seen in last year's blowout loss to Utah. Consistency will be the unit's biggest challenge.

Special teams questions at kicker

Punter Palmer Williams was a Ray Guy Award finalist last season, averaging 46.9 yards per punt, giving Baylor a reliable weapon in the kicking game. However, the Bears must replace starting kicker Connor Hawkins, who left via the transfer portal. Sophomore Rhett Armstrong, a highly touted recruit who handled kickoff duties last year, will take over placekicking duties. Armstrong has not attempted a field goal in a college game, making his performance a significant unknown. The return spots are also open competitions, adding further uncertainty to a unit that could be critical in close games.

Aranda's job security hangs over the season

Head coach Dave Aranda enters his seventh season at Baylor with a 36-37 record and immense pressure to win. The school retained him largely to maintain stability after former athletic director Mack Rhoades departed late last year. There is no specific win total that will save his job, but the expectation is clear: win now. Aranda is respected as a defensive schemer but has been described as 'a little weird' and 'socially awkward' by an opposing Big 12 assistant, and his staff has seen high turnover. The Bears' season will be defined by whether Aranda can finally deliver consistent results and prove that the program is moving in the right direction.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Baylor Bears's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Baylor Bears is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.

What is Baylor Bears's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Baylor Bears holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +3.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Baylor Bears's home field advantage rating?

Baylor Bears's home field advantage rating is 1.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

How many miles does Baylor Bears travel in 2026?

Baylor Bears travels 8,600 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 46th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Baylor Bears: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating +3.1.