26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
@
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
@
17
Final
34
@
@
@
@
Miami (OH) RedHawks is 5-3 on the season, 3-4-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -8.7. Miami (OH) RedHawks's games are going over the total at 75% this season (6-2), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Miami (OH) RedHawks host Buffalo next in Week 10.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Miami (OH) RedHawks Power Rating of -8.7 is 8.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Miami (OH) RedHawks have logged 2,472 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,289 miles, ranking 131st heaviest in the FBS.
Thomas Gotkowski QB, David McComb QB, Rodney Nelson RB, Cade Yacamelli RB, Quintin Simmons WR, Devin Hyatt WR, Damarion Witten WR, Eric Smith OL, Evan Malcore OL
CJ Young LB, Blayne Myrick LB, Malcolm McCain LB, Brock Uihlein LB, Roosevelt Andrews III DL, Bai Jobe EDGE, Devin Bell EDGE, Grant Lyons EDGE, Mychal Yharbrough S
Kellan McLaughlin K, Pierse Stainton P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Week 11 | 5-4 | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 6-5 | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 7-5 | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Week 15 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Postseason | 7-7 | 8-6 | 7-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -5.3 in the preseason and finished -8.7 after week 8, a move of -3.4 points. High -5.3 (the preseason), low -9.7 (week 6).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 8 | 1-7 | 3-5 |
| Bowling Green | 8 | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Massachusetts | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Akron | 9 | 8-1 | 5-4 |
| Central Michigan | 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Buffalo | 9 | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Ohio | 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Kent State | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Western Michigan | 6 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Pittsburgh, Holy Cross, UConn.
Week 03,289 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Pittsburgh | 258 mi | 517 mi |
| Week 2 | Holy Cross | Home | 517 mi |
| Week 3 | Cincinnati | 30 mi | 577 mi |
| Week 4 | UConn | Home | 577 mi |
| Week 5 | Bowling Green | Home | 577 mi |
| Week 6 | Massachusetts | 667 mi | 1,912 mi |
| Week 7 | Akron | Home | 1,912 mi |
| Week 8 | Central Michigan | 280 mi | 2,472 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Buffalo | Home | 2,472 mi |
| Week 11 | Ohio | Home | 2,472 mi |
| Week 12 | Kent State | 212 mi | 2,897 mi |
| Week 13 | Western Michigan | 196 mi | 3,289 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
The RedHawks opened with a 59-14 loss at Pittsburgh in which they were outgained 219-15 in the first quarter and failed to pick up a first down on their first three possessions. But they responded with a 45-7 home win over Holy Cross, then pushed Cincinnati to the wire before falling 35-31 after leading by 21 at halftime. A 24-21 comeback win over UConn and a 20-19 escape at UMass followed, and Miami has now won back-to-back games for the first time this season after a 34-14 victory over Akron. At 4-3 overall and 2-1 in MAC play, the RedHawks are very much alive in the conference race.
Miami's defense has quietly become the team's reliable unit. After surrendering 59 points to Pitt and 35 to Cincinnati, the RedHawks have allowed just 21, 24, 19 and 14 points in their last four games. The linebacker trio of CJ Young, Blayne Myrick and Malcolm McCain has been the strength, with Myrick returning an interception 34 yards for a touchdown against Akron and McCain stopping UMass's potential game-winning two-point conversion on the final play. Special teams have provided a hidden edge: Scoop Smith returned the opening kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown at Cincinnati and blocked a punt that Leo Colombi returned for a score against Holy Cross. Kicker Kellan McLaughlin has been steady since taking over field goals, and punter Pierse Stainton remains a field-position weapon.
The offense has cycled through three quarterbacks. David McComb, a redshirt freshman, has been the most productive, throwing for 334 yards and a touchdown at Cincinnati and 312 yards and two scores against UConn before leaving with an injury. Caleb Heavner has started the last two games, struggling at UMass (6-of-20 for 95 yards) but managing the Akron win efficiently. Thomas Gotkowski, the preseason projected starter, has yet to take meaningful snaps. The running game, expected to be a strength with Monmouth transfer Rodney Nelson and Wisconsin transfer Cade Yacamelli, finally broke out against Akron as Nelson ran for a career-high 142 yards and two touchdowns on just 13 carries. That performance offers hope that the offense can become more balanced down the stretch.
The rebuilt offensive line, which returned only left tackle Eric Smith and added Northern Illinois transfer Evan Malcore at right tackle, has been a season-long concern. The unit was overwhelmed at Pittsburgh and has struggled to generate consistent push against MAC fronts, contributing to low-scoring outputs against Bowling Green (20 points) and UMass (20 points). The Akron game was a step forward, but the RedHawks will need the line to build on that performance if they are to contend for a fourth straight MAC championship game appearance.
Miami sits at 4-3 with a manageable remaining schedule. The defense and special teams are good enough to keep the RedHawks in every game, but the offense must find consistency, particularly at quarterback and along the offensive line. The return of McComb from injury would be a boost, and Nelson's breakout against Akron suggests the running game could become a reliable foundation. With Chuck Martin's track record of three consecutive MAC title game appearances, Miami remains a threat in the conference, but the margin for error is thin. The next few weeks will reveal whether this team is a true contender or merely a spoiler.
Miami (OH) RedHawks is 3-4-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.
Miami (OH) RedHawks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -8.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Miami (OH) RedHawks's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Miami (OH) RedHawks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Miami (OH) RedHawks travels 3,289 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 131st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 5-3 overall, 3-4-1 ATS, power rating -8.7 (2026 records).