Miami (OH) RedHawks

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Miami (OH) RedHawks is 5-3 on the season, 3-4-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -8.7. Miami (OH) RedHawks's games are going over the total at 75% this season (6-2), a notable trend for totals bettors. The Miami (OH) RedHawks host Buffalo next in Week 10.

Conference: Mid-American Conference
Stadium: Yager Stadium, Oxford, OH
Power Rating (most current): -8.7
HFA Rating:2.5 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 5-3
2026 ATS: 3-4-1
2026 O/U: 6-2

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Miami (OH) RedHawks Power Rating of -8.7 is 8.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Miami (OH) RedHawks have logged 2,472 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,289 miles, ranking 131st heaviest in the FBS.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachChuck Martin
Tenure12 seasons
Record at school72-74
Career record146-81 (18 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorGus Ragland
Defensive coordinatorBill Brechin

Offense

Thomas Gotkowski QB, David McComb QB, Rodney Nelson RB, Cade Yacamelli RB, Quintin Simmons WR, Devin Hyatt WR, Damarion Witten WR, Eric Smith OL, Evan Malcore OL

Defense

CJ Young LB, Blayne Myrick LB, Malcolm McCain LB, Brock Uihlein LB, Roosevelt Andrews III DL, Bai Jobe EDGE, Devin Bell EDGE, Grant Lyons EDGE, Mychal Yharbrough S

Special teams

Kellan McLaughlin K, Pierse Stainton P

2025 Season in Review

Record7-7 ATS8-6 O/U7-7
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 10-11-00-1
Week 20-21-11-1
Week 40-31-22-1
Week 51-32-22-2
Week 62-33-23-2
Week 73-34-23-3
Week 84-35-24-3
Week 95-36-25-3
Week 115-46-35-4
Week 125-56-45-5
Week 136-57-46-5
Week 147-58-47-5
Week 157-68-57-6
Postseason7-78-67-7

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -5.3 in the preseason and finished -8.7 after week 8, a move of -3.4 points. High -5.3 (the preseason), low -9.7 (week 6).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -5.3 to -8.7.

PreW8

Miami (OH) RedHawks SP+ Profile

Offence+19.5111 of 138higher is better
Defence+22.948 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.525 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±3.3 pts
HFA measured+2.5 pts
HFA applied+2.5 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Cincinnati81-73-5
Bowling Green86-26-2
Massachusetts22-01-1
Akron98-15-4
Central Michigan55-05-0
Buffalo96-35-4
Ohio104-64-6
Kent State86-25-3
Western Michigan62-43-3

No meeting on record since 2016: Pittsburgh, Holy Cross, UConn.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home36-1527-24 ATS · 51 games
On the road27-3131-27 ATS · 58 games
Neutral site4-99-4 ATS · 13 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,289 miles - ranked 131st heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,289 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,289 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Pittsburgh258 mi517 mi
Week 2Holy CrossHome517 mi
Week 3Cincinnati30 mi577 mi
Week 4UConnHome577 mi
Week 5Bowling GreenHome577 mi
Week 6Massachusetts667 mi1,912 mi
Week 7AkronHome1,912 mi
Week 8Central Michigan280 mi2,472 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10BuffaloHome2,472 mi
Week 11OhioHome2,472 mi
Week 12Kent State212 mi2,897 mi
Week 13Western Michigan196 mi3,289 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Miami (OH) RedHawks Season Outlook

Slow start, steady climb: Miami finds its footing after a brutal opener

The RedHawks opened with a 59-14 loss at Pittsburgh in which they were outgained 219-15 in the first quarter and failed to pick up a first down on their first three possessions. But they responded with a 45-7 home win over Holy Cross, then pushed Cincinnati to the wire before falling 35-31 after leading by 21 at halftime. A 24-21 comeback win over UConn and a 20-19 escape at UMass followed, and Miami has now won back-to-back games for the first time this season after a 34-14 victory over Akron. At 4-3 overall and 2-1 in MAC play, the RedHawks are very much alive in the conference race.

Defense and special teams carry the load as offense searches for consistency

Miami's defense has quietly become the team's reliable unit. After surrendering 59 points to Pitt and 35 to Cincinnati, the RedHawks have allowed just 21, 24, 19 and 14 points in their last four games. The linebacker trio of CJ Young, Blayne Myrick and Malcolm McCain has been the strength, with Myrick returning an interception 34 yards for a touchdown against Akron and McCain stopping UMass's potential game-winning two-point conversion on the final play. Special teams have provided a hidden edge: Scoop Smith returned the opening kickoff 98 yards for a touchdown at Cincinnati and blocked a punt that Leo Colombi returned for a score against Holy Cross. Kicker Kellan McLaughlin has been steady since taking over field goals, and punter Pierse Stainton remains a field-position weapon.

Quarterback carousel and a ground game still finding its way

The offense has cycled through three quarterbacks. David McComb, a redshirt freshman, has been the most productive, throwing for 334 yards and a touchdown at Cincinnati and 312 yards and two scores against UConn before leaving with an injury. Caleb Heavner has started the last two games, struggling at UMass (6-of-20 for 95 yards) but managing the Akron win efficiently. Thomas Gotkowski, the preseason projected starter, has yet to take meaningful snaps. The running game, expected to be a strength with Monmouth transfer Rodney Nelson and Wisconsin transfer Cade Yacamelli, finally broke out against Akron as Nelson ran for a career-high 142 yards and two touchdowns on just 13 carries. That performance offers hope that the offense can become more balanced down the stretch.

Offensive line remains a work in progress

The rebuilt offensive line, which returned only left tackle Eric Smith and added Northern Illinois transfer Evan Malcore at right tackle, has been a season-long concern. The unit was overwhelmed at Pittsburgh and has struggled to generate consistent push against MAC fronts, contributing to low-scoring outputs against Bowling Green (20 points) and UMass (20 points). The Akron game was a step forward, but the RedHawks will need the line to build on that performance if they are to contend for a fourth straight MAC championship game appearance.

What to watch: Can Miami turn improved health and momentum into a MAC title run?

Miami sits at 4-3 with a manageable remaining schedule. The defense and special teams are good enough to keep the RedHawks in every game, but the offense must find consistency, particularly at quarterback and along the offensive line. The return of McComb from injury would be a boost, and Nelson's breakout against Akron suggests the running game could become a reliable foundation. With Chuck Martin's track record of three consecutive MAC title game appearances, Miami remains a threat in the conference, but the margin for error is thin. The next few weeks will reveal whether this team is a true contender or merely a spoiler.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Miami (OH) RedHawks's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Miami (OH) RedHawks is 3-4-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Miami (OH) RedHawks's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Miami (OH) RedHawks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -8.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Miami (OH) RedHawks's home field advantage rating?

Miami (OH) RedHawks's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Miami (OH) RedHawks's 2026 win total?

Miami (OH) RedHawks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Miami (OH) RedHawks travel in 2026?

Miami (OH) RedHawks travels 3,289 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 131st heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Miami (OH) RedHawks: 5-3 overall, 3-4-1 ATS, power rating -8.7 (2026 records).