Miami (OH) RedHawks is 0-1 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -9.7. Miami (OH) RedHawks enters the season with a power rating of -9.7, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Miami (OH) RedHawks host Holy Cross next in Week 2. In 2025, Miami (OH) RedHawks went 7-7 overall, 8-6 against the spread, and 7-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Miami (OH) RedHawks Power Rating of -9.7 is 9.7 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Miami (OH) RedHawks have logged 517 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,289 miles, ranking 131st heaviest in the FBS.
Thomas Gotkowski QB, David McComb QB, Rodney Nelson RB, Cade Yacamelli RB, Quintin Simmons WR, Devin Hyatt WR, Damarion Witten WR, Eric Smith OL, Evan Malcore OL
CJ Young LB, Blayne Myrick LB, Malcolm McCain LB, Brock Uihlein LB, Roosevelt Andrews III DL, Bai Jobe EDGE, Devin Bell EDGE, Grant Lyons EDGE, Mychal Yharbrough S
Kellan McLaughlin K, Pierse Stainton P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Week 11 | 5-4 | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Week 12 | 5-5 | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Week 13 | 6-5 | 7-4 | 6-5 |
| Week 14 | 7-5 | 8-4 | 7-5 |
| Week 15 | 7-6 | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Postseason | 7-7 | 8-6 | 7-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -5.3 in the preseason and finished -9.7 after week 2, a move of -4.3 points. High -5.3 (the preseason), low -9.7 (week 2).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.0 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | 8 | 1-7 | 3-5 |
| Bowling Green | 8 | 6-2 | 6-2 |
| Massachusetts | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Akron | 9 | 8-1 | 5-4 |
| Central Michigan | 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Buffalo | 9 | 6-3 | 5-4 |
| Ohio | 10 | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Kent State | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Western Michigan | 6 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Pittsburgh, Holy Cross, UConn.
Week 03,289 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Pittsburgh | 258 mi | 517 mi |
| Week 2 | Holy Cross | Home | 517 mi |
| Week 3 | Cincinnati | 30 mi | 577 mi |
| Week 4 | UConn | Home | 577 mi |
| Week 5 | Bowling Green | Home | 577 mi |
| Week 6 | Massachusetts | 667 mi | 1,912 mi |
| Week 7 | Akron | Home | 1,912 mi |
| Week 8 | Central Michigan | 280 mi | 2,472 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Buffalo | Home | 2,472 mi |
| Week 11 | Ohio | Home | 2,472 mi |
| Week 12 | Kent State | 212 mi | 2,897 mi |
| Week 13 | Western Michigan | 196 mi | 3,289 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Miami opened the season with a 59-14 loss at Pittsburgh, a game that highlighted the challenges of a rebuilt roster. The RedHawks managed only 15 total yards in the first quarter and did not pick up a first down on their first three possessions, falling behind 21-0 early. Redshirt freshman quarterback David McComb did connect with Damarion Witten on a 75-yard touchdown pass, and D'Shawntae Jones added a rushing score, but the offense could not sustain drives against a Power 4 defense. The loss was a sobering reminder that Miami's inexperience at key positions, especially on the offensive line and in the secondary, will be tested early in the season.
Sophomore Thomas Gotkowski was expected to be the starter after taking over late last season, but it was redshirt freshman David McComb who saw significant action against Pittsburgh, throwing the team's only touchdown pass. McComb, a former Kansas backup, showed flashes of playmaking ability with the long score to Witten, but the overall offensive output was limited. Gotkowski's status for the rest of the season is unclear, and the coaching staff may continue to evaluate both quarterbacks as they seek consistency. The quarterback competition adds uncertainty to an offense that already has many new faces at receiver and along the line.
Miami's roster features a wave of transfers and young players who are expected to contribute immediately. Running back Rodney Nelson, the CAA Player of the Year at Monmouth, was brought in to lead the ground game, but the rushing attack struggled to get going against Pittsburgh. Linebackers CJ Young and Blayne Myrick, both all-conference performers at their previous schools, are anchors of a defense that lost its top safeties. Wide receivers Quintin Simmons, Devin Hyatt, and Damarion Witten add Power 4 experience, but they are still building chemistry with the quarterbacks. The RedHawks' success this season will depend heavily on how quickly these newcomers adapt to MAC play.
Miami's defense has been a top-five unit in the MAC for four straight years, but this season brings significant turnover. The team lost both starting safeties, who were among the best in the conference, and must replace key pieces on the defensive line. However, the linebacker group is a clear strength, led by returning tackler Malcolm McCain and transfers CJ Young and Blayne Myrick. Brock Uihlein adds depth. Against Pittsburgh, the defense was overwhelmed early, but the front seven showed the potential to compete in MAC games. The secondary, which is young and unproven, will be a key area to watch as the season progresses.
Despite the lopsided loss, Miami's special teams unit, long a hallmark under head coach Chuck Martin, remains a potential edge. Punter Pierse Stainton returns after averaging 42.3 yards per kick, and junior Kellan McLaughlin has taken over placekicking duties after serving as the kickoff specialist. The RedHawks have been one of the most efficient special teams units in the country, and that could help them in close MAC games. Miami has also shown resilience in recent years, reaching three straight MAC title games. The schedule ahead includes a home game against Holy Cross, which should offer a chance to regroup and build confidence before conference play begins.
Miami (OH) RedHawks is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Miami (OH) RedHawks holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -9.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Miami (OH) RedHawks's home field advantage rating is 2.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Miami (OH) RedHawks's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Miami (OH) RedHawks travels 3,289 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 131st heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Miami (OH) RedHawks: 0-1 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating -9.7 (2026 records).
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