Week 7 • October 17, 2026, 04:00 AM UTC
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MAC
Power Rank: -20.6
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MAC
Power Rank: -7.0

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Miami (OH) (power rating: -7.0) holds a 13.6-point edge over Akron (-20.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Miami (OH)'s home field adds 2.5 points to that edge at Yager Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 7
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 AM EDT
Stadium: Yager Stadium
Capacity: 30,087
Elevation: 797 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line Miami (OH) -13.6

Line Value Calculator

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Akron
Miami (OH)
Home field — Yager Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Akron vs Miami (OH) at Yager Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Yager Stadium shows Clear — 74.7°F, Feels Like 79.0°F with winds of 5.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Clear

Clear

74.7°F

Feels Like: 79.0°F
Wind: 5.8 mph NW
Gusts: 12.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.17"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 14%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Akron (Away)

This Week: 201.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2678.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 7

Miami (OH) (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1334.6 miles
Season Total: 1909.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Akron vs Miami (OH)?

Akron: Key Factors

Quarterback transition and offensive potential

Reese Poffenbarger takes over as starter after productive FCS years at UAlbany (60 passing TDs, 8 rushing TDs in two seasons) but limited FBS experience as a backup. His ability to quickly adapt to Wake Forest's defense will be critical, especially with a veteran supporting cast including RB Jordan Gant (1,032 yards, 2nd-team All-MAC) and WR Marcel Williams (641 yards, All-MAC candidate).

Offensive line concerns vs. Wake Forest front

Akron's offensive line returns seven rotational players but lost key production to the transfer portal. Wake Forest's defensive front, even in a rebuilding year, could exploit these gaps. The line's ability to protect Poffenbarger and open lanes for Gant will determine offensive consistency.

Defensive secondary as a strength

Akron's secondary, led by S Rodrick Hunter, CB Terence Thomas, and nickel Aamii Branch, is the defense's strongest unit. They will need to contain Wake Forest's passing attack, especially if the defensive line (Frazier twins, Cyrus Durham) fails to generate pressure. The return of Oregon transfer S Daymon David from injury could be a boost.

Road environment and weather factors

Akron travels 348 miles to face Wake Forest in a clear, 57°F game with 8 mph wind. The cool temperature and mild wind are neutral, but the road environment (HFA 2.3) adds challenge for a team that has struggled away from home. Akron must handle crowd noise and early-game jitters.

Special teams reliability

K Matthew Schramm (12/13 FG, 4/5 from 40+) and P Joseph Castle (42.9 avg) return, providing reliable kicking and punting. In a potentially low-scoring game, field position and field goals could be decisive. PR Sean Patrick adds return threat.

Miami (OH): Key Factors

Offensive line experience vs. Pittsburgh's defensive front

Miami returns left tackle Eric Smith (third-team All-MAC) and adds Northern Illinois transfer Evan Malcore (also third-team All-MAC) at guard. This veteran duo will be critical against a Pittsburgh defensive line that typically generates pressure. The RedHawks' run game, led by FCS All-American Rodney Nelson, will rely on their ability to create lanes against a Power 4 opponent.

Quarterback Thomas Gotkowski's first road start against Power 4 competition

Sophomore Thomas Gotkowski showed flashes last season but struggled in the MAC Championship and bowl game. This will be his first career start away from home against a Power 4 defense. His ability to manage the game and avoid turnovers will be key, especially given Miami's conservative offensive philosophy.

Linebacker transfers as the backbone of the defense

Miami's defense has been top-five in the MAC for four straight years, and this season's strength is the linebacker corps. Second-team All-MAC transfer CJ Young (Kent State) and first-team All-Sun Belt transfer Blayne Myrick (South Alabama) join returning leading tackler Malcolm McCain. They will need to contain Pittsburgh's run game and provide run support in a hostile environment.

Special teams efficiency as a potential equalizer

Miami has consistently been one of the most efficient special teams units in the country, per an opposing MAC assistant. New placekicker Kellan McLaughlin takes over field goals and extra points, while punter Pierse Stainton averaged 42.3 yards per kick. In a road game against a Power 4 opponent, field position and kicking accuracy could be decisive.

Weather conditions favor Miami's gritty, run-first identity

The forecast calls for overcast skies, 59°F, and 10 mph wind with light precipitation. These cool, breezy conditions typically favor a run-heavy, defensive-minded team like Miami. The RedHawks' ability to control the clock with Rodney Nelson and Cade Yacamelli could keep Pittsburgh's offense off the field and limit scoring opportunities.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Akron travels 201 miles to this game, a short road trip.

How do Akron and Miami (OH) compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (OH) (-7.0) over Akron (-20.6) by 13.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami (OH) brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates Miami (OH) as the stronger team by 13.6 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.