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UConn Huskies is 4-3 on the season, 5-1-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -4.5. UConn Huskies is covering the spread at 67% since the start of last season (12-6-2), well above the FBS average. The UConn Huskies head to Air Force next in Week 9.
In Week 8 of 2026 the UConn Huskies Power Rating of -4.5 is 4.5 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. UConn Huskies have logged 4,024 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 10,822 miles, ranking 22nd heaviest in the FBS.
Kalieb Osborne QB, Jake Merklinger QB, Kenji Christian RB, Trey Cornist RB, Cyncir Bowers RB, Ky Wilson WR, Jediyah Willoughby WR, Ryder Treadway WR, Shamar Porter WR, Ty Chan OL, Julian Allen WR
K'Von Sherman LB, John Lista LB, Luke Murphy LB, Esean Carter DL, Joshua Mickens DL, Tahjae Mullix DL, Braedyn Moore S
Mike Baker K, Spencer Sullins P, Tommy Warner P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 2-2-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 6 | 4-2 | 3-2-1 | 4-2 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 4-2-1 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 4-3-1 | 6-2 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 5-3-1 | 6-3 |
| Week 11 | 7-3 | 6-3-1 | 7-3 |
| Week 12 | 8-3 | 7-3-1 | 7-4 |
| Week 13 | 9-3 | 7-4-1 | 8-4 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 7-5-1 | 9-4 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -9.0 in the preseason and finished -4.5 after week 8, a move of +4.5 points. High -4.1 (week 7), low -9.5 (week 1).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +5.9 is regressed to +3.5 before it is applied, a difference of 2.4 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Syracuse | 5 | 0-5 | 2-2-1 |
| Temple | 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Massachusetts | 6 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Air Force | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| North Carolina | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| James Madison | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Wyoming | 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Lafayette, Southern Miss, Miami (OH), Old Dominion.
Week 010,822 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Lafayette | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Maryland | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Southern Miss | 1,172 mi | 2,344 mi |
| Week 4 | Miami (OH) | 655 mi | 3,653 mi |
| Week 5 | Syracuse | Home | 3,653 mi |
| Week 6 | Temple | 185 mi | 4,024 mi |
| Week 7 | - | Bye | |
| Week 8 | Massachusetts | Home | 4,024 mi |
| Week 9 | Air Force | 1,701 mi | 7,426 mi |
| Week 10 | North Carolina | Home | 7,426 mi |
| Week 11 | James Madison | Home | 7,426 mi |
| Week 12 | Old Dominion | Home | 7,426 mi |
| Week 13 | Wyoming | 1,698 mi | 10,822 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Jason Candle took over a program that returned just one starter (offensive lineman Ty Chan) and added more than 70 new players. The Huskies opened with a 56-7 rout of FCS Lafayette, but were brought back to earth in a 38-14 loss to Maryland. They have since shown resilience, sitting at 3-3 with a 4-1-1 ATS record. The transition has been smoother than many expected, but consistency remains elusive.
Quarterback Kalieb Osborne, a Toledo transfer, has been the catalyst. He threw for 265 yards and rushed for 90 in the opener, and has multiple games with both passing and rushing touchdowns. The running back trio of Kenji Christian, Trey Cornist, and Cyncir Bowers has powered a ground game that exploded for 48 points at Southern Miss and 41 against Syracuse. When the Huskies establish the run, they control the game.
The defensive backfield, with players like Braedyn Moore learning on the job, has been torched repeatedly. Maryland's Malik Washington completed 34 of 41 passes for 347 yards and two scores, and Syracuse's Amari Odom threw for 335 yards and five touchdowns in a 42-41 overtime loss. Even in wins, opposing quarterbacks have found success through the air. Until the secondary tightens up, UConn will be in shootouts.
Led by K'Von Sherman (94 tackles, 4.5 sacks at Toledo last year), John Lista, and Luke Murphy, the linebacker corps has been the defense's strength. Esean Carter headlines the defensive line. When the front seven wins first and second down, it masks the secondary's inexperience. The Huskies held Lafayette to 209 total yards and generated timely pressure in the Southern Miss win. This group must continue to dominate for UConn to stay competitive.
Despite a 3-3 record, UConn has covered in four of six games and pushed in another. They nearly upset Syracuse as a 6.5-point underdog and won outright at Temple as a 3.5-point dog. The market has been slow to adjust to Candle's team, which has proven it can compete with anyone on its schedule. With a favorable matchup against Massachusetts next, the Huskies have a chance to build momentum and exceed expectations down the stretch.
UConn Huskies is 5-1-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 83% of games.
UConn Huskies holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -4.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
UConn Huskies's home field advantage rating is 3.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
UConn Huskies's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 5.5 wins, priced at -110 over and -125 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
UConn Huskies travels 10,822 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 22nd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
UConn Huskies: 4-3 overall, 5-1-1 ATS, power rating -4.5 (2026 records).