Ohio Bobcats is 0-1 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -6.2. Ohio Bobcats enters the season with a power rating of -6.2, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Ohio Bobcats host Jacksonville State next in Week 2. In 2025, Ohio Bobcats went 9-4 overall, 7-6 against the spread, and 6-7 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Ohio Bobcats Power Rating of -6.2 is 6.2 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Ohio Bobcats have logged 1,560 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 7,935 miles, ranking 57th heaviest in the FBS.
Matt Vezza QB, Duncan Brune RB, Victor Rosa RB, Dom Dorwart WR, Max Rodarte WR, Eian Pugh WR
Jack Fries LB, Michael Molnar LB, Austin Mitchell DL, Nehemiah Dukes DL, Derek Reagans DL
Magnus Haines P, Will Hryszko K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Week 6 | 3-3 | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 4-3 | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 6-3 | 6-3 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| Postseason | 9-4 | 7-6 | 6-7 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened -2.4 in the preseason and finished +1.0 after the postseason, a move of +3.4 points. High +3.5 (week 15), low -3.2 (week 0).
PrePost
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.7 is regressed to +3.3 before it is applied, a difference of 1.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville State | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| South Alabama | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Kent State | 8 | 6-2 | 3-4-1 |
| Central Michigan | 6 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Eastern Michigan | 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Akron | 9 | 8-1 | 4-5 |
| Miami (OH) | 10 | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Ball State | 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Toledo | 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Nebraska, Stonehill, Sacramento State.
Week 07,935 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Nebraska | 780 mi | 1,560 mi |
| Week 2 | Jacksonville State | Home | 1,560 mi |
| Week 3 | South Alabama | 687 mi | 2,934 mi |
| Week 4 | Stonehill | Home | 2,934 mi |
| Week 5 | Kent State | 132 mi | 3,198 mi |
| Week 6 | Central Michigan | Home | 3,198 mi |
| Week 7 | Sacramento State | 2,102 mi | 7,403 mi |
| Week 8 | Eastern Michigan | Home | 7,403 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Akron | 125 mi | 7,652 mi |
| Week 11 | Miami (OH) | 141 mi | 7,935 mi |
| Week 12 | Ball State | Home | 7,935 mi |
| Week 13 | Toledo | Home | 7,935 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Ohio enters 2026 with John Hauser as head coach after he spent three seasons on staff, following Brian Smith's resignation. The program has won 40 games over the past four years, but Hauser faces a roster overhauled by graduation and the transfer portal. The offense lost nearly all its production, including quarterback Parker Navarro and 1,300-yard rusher Sieh Bangura. The defense returns key pieces like linebackers Jack Fries and Michael Molnar, plus defensive linemen Austin Mitchell, Nehemiah Dukes, and Derek Reagans, giving Hauser a foundation to build on.
The starting quarterback job is open between inexperienced returners and New Hampshire transfer Matt Vezza, who was highly productive at the FCS level. The ground game will rely on returnee Duncan Brune, who ran for 585 yards and eight touchdowns last season, and UConn transfer Victor Rosa, who added 302 total yards and three scores. At receiver, Dom Dorwart, Max Rodarte, and Eian Pugh combined for 24 catches and 280 yards, providing reliable targets. The offensive line is the biggest concern, with all five starters gone and replacements brought in via the transfer portal to maintain the team's physical rushing identity.
Defensive coordinator Kurt Mattis, who was on the 2024 staff, returns to implement an aggressive, attacking scheme focused on pressure and disruption. The front seven, anchored by Fries, Molnar, Mitchell, Dukes, and Reagans, has the talent to create negative plays, but adapting to a new system takes time. The secondary mixes returnees and transfers, aiming to limit opposing passing attacks. If the defense gels quickly, it could become one of the MAC's most impactful units, and it will likely determine Ohio's win-loss record this season.
Ohio opens at Nebraska, a road game where they are heavy underdogs, with a 6% win probability per prediction markets. The season includes significant travel, totaling over 6,000 miles. While the roster is largely new, the program's history of recruiting and developing high school players suggests plug-and-play options may emerge. The key will be how quickly the rebuilt offensive line and new quarterback mesh, and whether the defense can carry the team early. Expect growing pains, but the Bobcats have the pieces to compete in the MAC if the front seven lives up to its potential.
Ohio Bobcats is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Ohio Bobcats holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -6.2, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Ohio Bobcats's home field advantage rating is 3.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Ohio Bobcats's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -150 over and +120 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Ohio Bobcats travels 7,935 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 57th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Ohio Bobcats: 0-1 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating -6.2 (2026 records).
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