Kent State Golden Flashes

By · Last updated

Kent State Golden Flashes is 2-5 on the season, 3-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -21.4. Kent State Golden Flashes holds a power rating of -21.4, placing them in the weaker tier of the FBS and typically entering games as a significant underdog. The Kent State Golden Flashes host Akron next in Week 8.

Conference: Mid-American Conference
Stadium: Dix Stadium, Kent, OH
Power Rating (most current): -21.4
HFA Rating:2.4 pts
2026 Win Total:2.5
2026 Record: 2-5
2026 ATS: 3-4
2026 O/U: 4-3

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Kent State Golden Flashes Power Rating of -21.4 is 21.4 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Kent State Golden Flashes have logged 3,518 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 8,290 miles, ranking 52nd heaviest in the FBS.

Kent State Golden Flashes Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachMark Carney
Tenure1 season
Record5-7
Offensive coordinatorClay Patterson
Defensive coordinatorCherokee Valeria

Offense

Dru DeShields QB, Terik Mulder TE, Da'Realyst Clark WR, Wayne Harris WR, Jakorion Caffey RB, Mason King RB, Brandon White RB, Donovan Delaney Jr. RB

Defense

Thomas Aden DL, Jaihien Roy EDGE, Antonio Bottiggi EDGE, Rocco Nicholl LB, Derrick Jackson III S, Joel Cordoba S, DJ Barnes S

Special teams

Jake Stoeckel P

2025 Season in Review

Record5-7 ATS6-6 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 21-10-21-1
Week 31-21-22-1
Week 41-31-33-1
Week 61-42-33-2
Week 72-43-33-3
Week 82-53-44-3
Week 93-54-44-4
Week 113-64-54-5
Week 124-65-55-5
Week 134-75-65-6
Week 145-76-66-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -18.7 in the preseason and finished -21.4 after week 8, a move of -2.7 points. High -18.7 (the preseason), low -22.0 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -18.7 to -21.4.

PreW8

Kent State Golden Flashes SP+ Profile

Offence+15.9125 of 138higher is better
Defence+35.5127 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.5124 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±4.2 pts
HFA measured+2.2 pts
HFA applied+2.4 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured and applied home field advantage agree to within 0.2 points here, so smoothing changes little for this venue.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Ball State61-52-4
Ohio82-64-3-1
Western Michigan40-41-3
Akron105-57-2-1
Bowling Green106-46-4
Miami (OH)82-63-5
Eastern Michigan62-42-4

No meeting on record since 2016: South Carolina, Wofford, Ohio State, South Florida, Sacramento State.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home22-2623-24-1 ATS · 48 games
On the road12-5227-35-2 ATS · 64 games
Neutral site1-21-2 ATS · 3 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

8,290 miles - ranked 52nd heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 8,290 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 08,290 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1South Carolina494 mi989 mi
Week 2WoffordHome989 mi
Week 3Ohio State119 mi1,227 mi
Week 4Ball StateHome1,227 mi
Week 5OhioHome1,227 mi
Week 6Western Michigan235 mi1,698 mi
Week 7South Florida910 mi3,518 mi
Week 8AkronHome3,518 mi
Week 9Sacramento State2,122 mi7,761 mi
Week 10-Bye
Week 11Bowling Green121 mi8,004 mi
Week 12Miami (OH)Home8,004 mi
Week 13Eastern Michigan143 mi8,290 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Kent State Golden Flashes Season Outlook

A brutal non-conference slate set the tone, but MAC play revealed a competitive team

Kent State opened with a 57-0 loss at South Carolina and a 59-3 loss at Ohio State, games in which the Flashes were outscored 116-3 and clearly overmatched against SEC and Big Ten talent. However, in between those blowouts, they handled FCS Wofford 36-15 and then opened MAC play with a 26-13 win over Ball State. The two Power Five losses were expected, but the way Kent State competed in MAC games, including a 13-10 loss to Ohio and a 38-7 setback at Western Michigan, shows this team is far more competitive than the group that went 1-23 over the previous two seasons. At 2-5 overall and 1-2 in the MAC, the Flashes have already matched their win total from last season and have been within a score in two of their three conference games.

Dru DeShields remains the engine, but turnover regression is a concern

Quarterback Dru DeShields was the primary reason for optimism entering the season after throwing 18 touchdowns and only three interceptions in 2025. He has continued to produce with his arm and legs, throwing for 248 yards and rushing for 74 in the win over Wofford, and accounting for three total touchdowns in the Ball State victory. However, his interception problem has resurfaced: he threw two first-half picks against Wofford, two more in the loss to Ohio, and another at Western Michigan. Through seven games, DeShields has already thrown multiple interceptions in three separate contests, a stark contrast to his careful 2025 campaign. His backyard-football style still creates explosive plays, but the turnovers have often put the defense in tough spots and stalled drives. If Kent State is to make a run at a bowl game, DeShields must rediscover his ball security.

The defense has shown dramatic improvement after a rocky start, but consistency remains elusive

After finishing 125th in FBS in total defense last season and allowing 57 points to South Carolina in the opener, Kent State's defense looked like a liability. But the unit turned a corner in the second half against Wofford, pitching a shutout and holding the Terriers to 67 total yards after halftime. That carried over into MAC play, where the Flashes held Ball State to 13 points and Ohio to 13 points, both season lows for opponents. The return of safeties Derrick Jackson III and Joel Cordoba, along with nickel DJ Barnes, stabilized the back end, and the corners improved. However, the defense reverted to old habits at Western Michigan, allowing 38 points and failing to contain the Broncos' passing attack. The challenge for defensive coordinator Cherokee Valeria is to recapture the form that frustrated MAC opponents for a three-game stretch.

The running back committee has yet to fully materialize, putting more pressure on DeShields

One of the biggest preseason questions was at running back, where Cincinnati transfer Jakorion Caffey, Illinois State transfer Mason King, Brandon White, and Donovan Delaney Jr. were all competing for carries. Caffey showed promise with a 5-yard touchdown run against Wofford and a solid outing against Ball State, but since MAC play began, the ground game has largely disappeared. Against Ohio, Mason King's 1-yard plunge was the only rushing score, and at Western Michigan, the backs were an afterthought as DeShields threw 35-plus times. Without a reliable run game, Kent State has become one-dimensional, allowing defenses to tee off on DeShields and the passing attack. The offensive line, which had holes to fill, has struggled to generate consistent push against conference fronts. Finding a semblance of balance will be crucial for the offense to sustain drives.

The schedule lightens up, offering a path to bowl eligibility if the Flashes can clean up mistakes

At 2-5, Kent State's margin for error is slim, but the remaining schedule is far more forgiving than the first seven games. The Flashes have already faced two Power Five opponents and a South Florida team on the road; their final five games are all against MAC competition, beginning with a home date against Akron (1-6). Kent State has shown it can compete with MAC peers, having beaten Ball State and taken Ohio to the wire. However, the team must eliminate the turnovers and defensive lapses that have plagued them. With winnable games remaining, a .500 conference record and a shot at a bowl game are still within reach, but only if DeShields protects the ball and the defense plays with the consistency it showed in Weeks 2 through 4. The next few weeks will define whether this season is a step forward or a missed opportunity.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kent State Golden Flashes's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Kent State Golden Flashes is 3-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 43% of games.

What is Kent State Golden Flashes's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Kent State Golden Flashes holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -21.4, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Kent State Golden Flashes's home field advantage rating?

Kent State Golden Flashes's home field advantage rating is 2.4 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Kent State Golden Flashes's 2026 win total?

Kent State Golden Flashes's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 2.5 wins, priced at -200 over and +150 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Kent State Golden Flashes travel in 2026?

Kent State Golden Flashes travels 8,290 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 52nd heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Kent State Golden Flashes: 2-5 overall, 3-4 ATS, power rating -21.4 (2026 records).