Alabama Crimson Tide is 1-0 on the season, 1-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +21.3. Alabama Crimson Tide enters the season with a power rating of +21.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Alabama Crimson Tide head to Kentucky next in Week 2. In 2025, Alabama Crimson Tide went 11-4 overall, 8-5-2 against the spread, and 5-10 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Alabama Crimson Tide Power Rating of +21.3 is 21.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Alabama Crimson Tide have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 2,444 miles, ranking 137th heaviest in the FBS.
Ryan Coleman-Williams WR, Austin Mack QB, Keelon Russell QB, Michael Carroll OL, Daniel Hill RB, EJ Crowell RB
Yhonzae Pierre EDGE, Zabien Brown CB, Terrance Green DL, Devan Thompkins DL, Caleb Woodson LB, Bray Hubbard S, Keon Sabb S
Conor Talty K, Lorcan Quinn K, Alex Asparuhov P, Adam Watford P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 4-1-1 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 5-1-1 | 3-4 |
| Week 9 | 7-1 | 5-2-1 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 8-1 | 6-2-1 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 6-3-1 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 7-3-1 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 7-3-2 | 4-8 |
| Week 15 | 10-3 | 7-4-2 | 4-9 |
| Postseason | 11-4 | 8-5-2 | 5-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +19.2 in the preseason and finished +21.3 after week 2, a move of +2.1 points. High +21.3 (week 2), low +19.2 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +6.3 is regressed to +3.5 before it is applied, a difference of 2.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Florida State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| South Carolina | 3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Mississippi State | 8 | 8-0 | 7-1 |
| Georgia | 9 | 7-2 | 5-4 |
| Tennessee | 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Texas A&M | 8 | 7-1 | 4-4 |
| LSU | 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Vanderbilt | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Chattanooga | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Auburn | 10 | 8-2 | 4-5-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: East Carolina.
Week 02,444 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | East Carolina | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Kentucky | 374 mi | 747 mi |
| Week 3 | Florida State | Home | 747 mi |
| Week 4 | South Carolina | Home | 747 mi |
| Week 5 | Mississippi State | 74 mi | 895 mi |
| Week 6 | Georgia | Home | 895 mi |
| Week 7 | Tennessee | 280 mi | 1,455 mi |
| Week 8 | Texas A&M | Home | 1,455 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | LSU | 288 mi | 2,031 mi |
| Week 11 | Vanderbilt | 207 mi | 2,444 mi |
| Week 12 | Chattanooga | Home | 2,444 mi |
| Week 13 | Auburn | Home | 2,444 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Sophomore Keelon Russell won the training camp battle over Austin Mack and made his first career start count, accounting for 335 total yards and a touchdown in a 48-10 win over East Carolina. He threw for 249 yards and added 86 on the ground, including a 23-yard scramble on the opening drive that showed his ability to escape pressure. Russell did have a fumble and some pre-snap issues that forced timeouts, but coach Kalen DeBoer said he improved as the game went on. His dual-threat skill set gives Alabama an element it lacked last season and makes him a tough matchup for SEC defenses.
The newly named team captain, now going by Ryan Coleman-Williams, caught 130 yards worth of passes against East Carolina, including a 58-yard gain, after dropping two balls in the second quarter. Coach DeBoer praised his resilience and said the team will keep feeding him. Coleman-Williams had one of the nation's highest drop rates as a sophomore, so this performance, especially the contested catches, is an encouraging sign. His connection with Russell will be critical for Alabama's passing game to stretch defenses and keep them honest against the run.
Alabama's defense held East Carolina to just 162 total yards and two rushing yards on 22 carries, the fewest allowed against an FBS opponent since 2021. The secondary, which returned nearly intact with safeties Bray Hubbard and Keon Sabb and cornerback Zabien Brown, was expected to be a strength, and they delivered. The front seven, which added size via transfers Terrance Green and Devan Thompkins, also looked improved after being overpowered in last season's Rose Bowl loss. However, East Carolina is not a reliable measuring stick, and the real challenge comes against SEC offenses with more talent and physicality.
Alabama's special teams were a liability last season, with missed kicks by Conor Talty, who now faces competition from Marshall transfer Lorcan Quinn. The punter job is also unsettled between Alex Asparuhov and Adam Watford. In the opener, these issues did not cost the Tide, but they remain a hidden risk in close games. Additionally, Alabama showed some early execution problems, including pre-snap penalties and a fumble, which could be costly against tougher opponents. The team opens SEC play at Kentucky, where the margin for error will be much smaller.
Alabama Crimson Tide is 1-0 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 100% of games.
Alabama Crimson Tide holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +21.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Alabama Crimson Tide's home field advantage rating is 3.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Alabama Crimson Tide's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Alabama Crimson Tide travels 2,444 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 137th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 1-0 overall, 1-0 ATS, power rating +21.3 (2026 records).
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