Alabama Crimson Tide is 6-2 on the season, 4-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +22.5. Alabama Crimson Tide holds a power rating of +22.5, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Alabama Crimson Tide head to LSU next in Week 10.
In Week 8 of 2026 the Alabama Crimson Tide Power Rating of +22.5 is 22.5 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Alabama Crimson Tide have logged 1,455 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 2,444 miles, ranking 137th heaviest in the FBS.
Ryan Coleman-Williams WR, Austin Mack QB, Keelon Russell QB, Michael Carroll OL, Daniel Hill RB, EJ Crowell RB
Yhonzae Pierre EDGE, Zabien Brown CB, Terrance Green DL, Devan Thompkins DL, Caleb Woodson LB, Bray Hubbard S, Keon Sabb S
Conor Talty K, Lorcan Quinn K, Alex Asparuhov P, Adam Watford P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Week 5 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
| Week 6 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 4-1-1 | 3-3 |
| Week 8 | 6-1 | 5-1-1 | 3-4 |
| Week 9 | 7-1 | 5-2-1 | 4-4 |
| Week 11 | 8-1 | 6-2-1 | 4-5 |
| Week 12 | 8-2 | 6-3-1 | 4-6 |
| Week 13 | 9-2 | 7-3-1 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 10-2 | 7-3-2 | 4-8 |
| Week 15 | 10-3 | 7-4-2 | 4-9 |
| Postseason | 11-4 | 8-5-2 | 5-10 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +19.2 in the preseason and finished +22.5 after week 8, a move of +3.3 points. High +27.3 (week 6), low +19.2 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +6.3 is regressed to +3.5 before it is applied, a difference of 2.7 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky | 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 |
| Florida State | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| South Carolina | 3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Mississippi State | 8 | 8-0 | 7-1 |
| Georgia | 9 | 7-2 | 5-4 |
| Tennessee | 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Texas A&M | 8 | 7-1 | 4-4 |
| LSU | 10 | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Vanderbilt | 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Chattanooga | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Auburn | 10 | 8-2 | 4-5-1 |
No meeting on record since 2016: East Carolina.
Week 02,444 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | East Carolina | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Kentucky | 374 mi | 747 mi |
| Week 3 | Florida State | Home | 747 mi |
| Week 4 | South Carolina | Home | 747 mi |
| Week 5 | Mississippi State | 74 mi | 895 mi |
| Week 6 | Georgia | Home | 895 mi |
| Week 7 | Tennessee | 280 mi | 1,455 mi |
| Week 8 | Texas A&M | Home | 1,455 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | LSU | 288 mi | 2,031 mi |
| Week 11 | Vanderbilt | 207 mi | 2,444 mi |
| Week 12 | Chattanooga | Home | 2,444 mi |
| Week 13 | Auburn | Home | 2,444 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Russell won the starting job over Austin Mack in camp and has been dynamic, accounting for 335 yards and a score in his debut, then throwing for 365 yards and four touchdowns against South Carolina. He has five 300-yard passing games and is a true dual-threat, but his turnover habit has been costly: three turnovers at Kentucky (two interceptions, one fumble) and two interceptions plus a lost fumble at Tennessee. In the two losses, those giveaways directly led to points and kept inferior opponents close early. If Russell cleans this up, the offense can be elite; if not, it will cap the Tide's ceiling.
After averaging 3.4 yards per carry in 2025, Alabama rushed for 227 yards in the opener and 155 at Kentucky, but the consistency has been lacking. Against Florida State, the Tide managed just 27 rushing yards before halftime and finished with 54 at Tennessee. Daniel Hill has emerged as the lead back with a 104-yard game at Kentucky, and freshman EJ Crowell has flashed, but the offensive line, anchored by Michael Carroll and supplemented by portal additions, has yet to prove it can impose its will against quality fronts. When the run game stalls, the offense becomes one-dimensional and vulnerable to the kind of second-half lulls that have plagued them.
Alabama held East Carolina to 2 rushing yards on 22 carries, the fewest against an FBS opponent since 2021, and limited Kentucky to 62 second-half yards. The portal-built front of Terrance Green and Devan Thompkins plus edge rusher Yhonzae Pierre has answered physicality questions. However, the secondary, despite returning Bray Hubbard, Keon Sabb, and Zabien Brown, has been burned by mobile quarterbacks and big plays: Florida State had 13 plays of 15+ yards, and Georgia's Gunner Stockton completed 18 of 22 passes for 249 yards. The pass rush has been inconsistent, and the back seven must tighten up against elite passing attacks.
Alabama has yet to put together a complete four-quarter performance against a quality opponent. They trailed 17-13 at Kentucky at halftime, needed a 15-point comeback against Florida State, and spotted Georgia a halftime lead. Against Tennessee, they managed just 93 first-half yards and went 0-for-7 on third down. The pattern is clear: the Tide often sleepwalks through the first 30 minutes, relying on second-half surges. Against elite teams, that approach is unsustainable. Fixing the early-game execution and intensity is critical for the stretch run.
At 5-2 with losses to Georgia and Tennessee, Alabama still controls its destiny in the SEC race. The remaining schedule includes home games against Texas A&M and others, plus a trip to Auburn. The offense must protect the ball, the run game must be more consistent, and the defense must limit explosives. If Russell continues his development and the supporting cast steps up, the Tide can finish strong and position themselves for a New Year's Six bowl. But the two-game losing streak exposed vulnerabilities that opponents will exploit. The next few weeks will reveal whether this team can mature into a contender or remain a talented but flawed squad.
Alabama Crimson Tide is 4-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
Alabama Crimson Tide holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +22.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Alabama Crimson Tide's home field advantage rating is 3.5 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Alabama Crimson Tide's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Alabama Crimson Tide travels 2,444 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 137th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 6-2 overall, 4-4 ATS, power rating +22.5 (2026 records).