Auburn Tigers

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Auburn Tigers is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +9.3. Auburn Tigers enters the season with a power rating of +9.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Auburn Tigers host Southern Miss next in Week 2. In 2025, Auburn Tigers went 5-7 overall, 4-7-1 against the spread, and 4-8 on totals.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Power Rating (most current): +9.3
HFA Rating:1.3 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 0-1
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Auburn Tigers Power Rating of +9.3 is 9.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Auburn Tigers have logged 203 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 2,187 miles, ranking 138th heaviest in the FBS.

Auburn Tigers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachAlex Golesh
TenureFirst season
Career record23-15 (3 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorsKodi Burns, Joel Gordon
Defensive coordinatorsDJ Durkin, Tim Banks

Offense

Byrum Brown QB, Cole Best OL, Chas Nimrod WR, Keshaun Singleton WR, Jeremiah Koger WR, Jeremiah Cobb RB, Bryson Washington RB, Jake Johnson TE, Jonathan Echols TE, Jo Simmons OL

Defense

Xavier Atkins LB, Elijah Melendez LB, Eric Winters S, Sylvester Smith S, AnQuon Fegans S, Andre Jordan Jr. CB, Cody Sigler DL, Da'Shawn Womack DL, Nate Johnson DL, Saint Farrior DL, Walter Mathis Jr. DL, Jourdin Crawford DL, Jared Smith DL, Darrion Smith DL, Rayshawn Pleasant CB

Special teams

Alex McPherson K, Hudson Kaak P

2025 Season in Review

Record5-7 ATS4-7-1 O/U4-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-01-11-1
Week 33-01-21-2
Week 43-11-31-3
Week 53-22-31-4
Week 73-32-41-5
Week 83-42-51-6
Week 94-43-52-6
Week 104-53-62-7
Week 114-63-73-7
Week 135-64-74-7
Week 145-74-7-14-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +10.9 in the preseason and finished +9.3 after week 2, a move of -1.6 points. High +11.5 (week 1), low +9.3 (week 2).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +10.9 to +9.3.

PreW2

Auburn Tigers SP+ Profile

Offence+28.455 of 138higher is better
Defence+17.518 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.343 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±7.0 pts
HFA measured-0.8 pts
HFA applied+1.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of -0.8 is regressed to +1.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Baylor11-01-0
Southern Miss11-00-1
Florida10-10-1
Vanderbilt42-21-3
Tennessee21-11-1
Georgia111-103-8
LSU83-55-3
Ole Miss86-25-3
Arkansas108-27-3
Mississippi State85-36-2
Samford22-01-1
Alabama102-85-4-1

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home47-2435-35-1 ATS · 71 games
On the road18-2722-22-1 ATS · 45 games
Neutral site3-73-7 ATS · 10 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

2,187 miles - ranked 138th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 2,187 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 02,187 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Baylor101 mi203 mi
Week 2Southern MissHome203 mi
Week 3FloridaHome203 mi
Week 4VanderbiltHome203 mi
Week 5Tennessee248 mi698 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7Georgia154 mi1,006 mi
Week 8LSUHome1,006 mi
Week 9Ole Miss263 mi1,532 mi
Week 10ArkansasHome1,532 mi
Week 11Mississippi State201 mi1,933 mi
Week 12SamfordHome1,933 mi
Week 13Alabama127 mi2,187 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Auburn Tigers Season Outlook

A New Era Starts with a Gritty Win

Alex Golesh's first game as Auburn's head coach ended in a 17-16 nail-biter over Baylor, a game that showcased both the promise and the rough edges of this rebuilt roster. The Tigers survived thanks to Eric Winters' goal-line stop on a two-point conversion with nine seconds left, preserving the win after Baylor's late touchdown. Auburn's defense forced five Baylor turnovers, but the offense managed only three points off those gifts, a sign of the inconsistency that plagued the day. Still, finding a way to win in Week 1, even when not playing clean, is a positive step for a program trying to shed years of offensive struggles.

Byrum Brown's Debut: Flashes of Brilliance, Costly Mistakes

Quarterback Byrum Brown, the centerpiece of Golesh's transfer haul from South Florida, showed why he was brought in to spark the offense. He completed 26 of 35 passes for 259 yards and added 27 rushing yards, including the go-ahead 11-yard touchdown run late in the fourth quarter. But he also threw three interceptions, and Golesh took the blame, saying the coaching staff tried to force the ball downfield. Brown's dual-threat ability is real, but his decision-making under pressure will need to improve as Auburn faces stiffer SEC competition. The good news is that his command of the offense, a system he knows well from USF, was evident in the game-winning drive.

Defense Carries the Day, But Concerns Loom

Auburn's defense, coordinated by DJ Durkin, lived up to its billing as the team's strength. The unit forced a fumble, an interception, and repeatedly stalled Baylor drives, holding the Bears to 16 points despite their 333 passing yards. Eric Winters was the hero, but the safety trio of Winters, Sylvester Smith, and AnQuon Fegans was active throughout. The defensive line, bolstered by transfers like Cody Sigler and Da'Shawn Womack, applied consistent pressure. However, the secondary gave up big plays, including a 154-yard receiving day to Baylor's Gavin Freeman, and the defense was on the field too long because the offense kept stalling. That is a formula that could backfire against more explosive SEC offenses.

Offensive Line and Playmakers Still a Work in Progress

The rebuilt offensive line, anchored by Cole Best and Jo Simmons, held up reasonably well in pass protection, allowing Brown time to complete 74% of his passes. But the run game was not a factor, with Jeremiah Cobb's 15-yard touchdown run being the only highlight. Auburn managed just 17 points, and the offense went three-and-out multiple times after Baylor turnovers. The receiving corps, featuring USF imports Chas Nimrod and Keshaun Singleton, did not have a breakout game, and the tight end rotation of Jake Johnson and Jonathan Echols was quiet. Golesh's offense is designed to be efficient and explosive, but it is not there yet. The pieces are in place, but cohesion will take time.

Looking Ahead: A Soft Landing Before the SEC Grind

Auburn's schedule offers a chance to build confidence before conference play. The Tigers host Southern Miss in Week 2, a game where they are heavy favorites, and the market gives them a 98% win probability. This is an opportunity to clean up the turnovers, get the run game going, and let Brown and the receivers develop rhythm. The real test will come when Auburn faces SEC defenses that can pressure the quarterback and exploit the secondary's vulnerabilities. If the offense can cut down on mistakes and the defense continues to force turnovers, Auburn could surprise some teams. But if the red-zone inefficiency and turnover issues persist, the Tigers will struggle to win close games against better opponents.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Auburn Tigers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Auburn Tigers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Auburn Tigers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Auburn Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +9.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Auburn Tigers's home field advantage rating?

Auburn Tigers's home field advantage rating is 1.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Auburn Tigers's 2026 win total?

Auburn Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Auburn Tigers travel in 2026?

Auburn Tigers travels 2,187 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 138th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Auburn Tigers: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +9.3 (2026 records).