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Auburn Tigers is 4-2 on the season, 2-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +11.7. Auburn Tigers is covering at just 35% since the start of last season (6-11-1), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Auburn Tigers host LSU next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Auburn Tigers Power Rating of +11.7 is 11.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Auburn Tigers have logged 1,006 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 2,187 miles, ranking 138th heaviest in the FBS.
Byrum Brown QB, Cole Best OL, Chas Nimrod WR, Keshaun Singleton WR, Jeremiah Koger WR, Jeremiah Cobb RB, Bryson Washington RB, Jake Johnson TE, Jonathan Echols TE, Jo Simmons OL
Xavier Atkins LB, Elijah Melendez LB, Eric Winters S, Sylvester Smith S, AnQuon Fegans S, Andre Jordan Jr. CB, Cody Sigler DL, Da'Shawn Womack DL, Nate Johnson DL, Saint Farrior DL, Walter Mathis Jr. DL, Jourdin Crawford DL, Jared Smith DL, Darrion Smith DL, Rayshawn Pleasant CB
Alex McPherson K, Hudson Kaak P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1-5 |
| Week 8 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 1-6 |
| Week 9 | 4-4 | 3-5 | 2-6 |
| Week 10 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 2-7 |
| Week 11 | 4-6 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 5-6 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Week 14 | 5-7 | 4-7-1 | 4-8 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +10.9 in the preseason and finished +11.7 after week 8, a move of +0.8 points. High +11.7 (week 8), low +9.1 (week 7).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of -0.8 is regressed to +1.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Southern Miss | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Florida | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Vanderbilt | 4 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Tennessee | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Georgia | 11 | 1-10 | 3-8 |
| LSU | 8 | 3-5 | 5-3 |
| Ole Miss | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Arkansas | 10 | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Mississippi State | 8 | 5-3 | 6-2 |
| Samford | 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 |
| Alabama | 10 | 2-8 | 5-4-1 |
Week 02,187 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Baylor | 101 mi | 203 mi |
| Week 2 | Southern Miss | Home | 203 mi |
| Week 3 | Florida | Home | 203 mi |
| Week 4 | Vanderbilt | Home | 203 mi |
| Week 5 | Tennessee | 248 mi | 698 mi |
| Week 6 | - | Bye | |
| Week 7 | Georgia | 154 mi | 1,006 mi |
| Week 8 | LSU | Home | 1,006 mi |
| Week 9 | Ole Miss | 263 mi | 1,532 mi |
| Week 10 | Arkansas | Home | 1,532 mi |
| Week 11 | Mississippi State | 201 mi | 1,933 mi |
| Week 12 | Samford | Home | 1,933 mi |
| Week 13 | Alabama | 127 mi | 2,187 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Alex Golesh took over as head coach after a successful stint at South Florida, bringing with him a cadre of offensive players and staff. The offense is built around dual-threat quarterback Byrum Brown, who thrived under Golesh at USF, and a supporting cast that includes center Cole Best and receivers Chas Nimrod, Keshaun Singleton, and Jeremiah Koger. The Tigers are still meshing, as Golesh noted, but the early returns show promise, especially after a statement win at Georgia.
Defensive coordinator DJ Durkin retained his role and has leaned on linebacker Xavier Atkins, a first-team All-SEC pick in 2025 with nine sacks and 17 tackles for loss. The secondary features safeties Eric Winters, Sylvester Smith, and Anquon Fegans, while the defensive line is a mix of transfers like Cody Sigler, Da'Shawn Womack, and Nate Johnson. The unit held Baylor to 16 points and Vanderbilt to 15, but struggled against Florida and Tennessee, allowing 44 and 24 points, respectively.
Byrum Brown has shown flashes of brilliance, notably in the upset of Georgia where he ran for 115 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. However, turnovers have been a persistent issue: he threw three interceptions in the opener against Baylor and had two picks and a fumble at Tennessee. His decision-making under pressure will be crucial as Auburn navigates the rest of its SEC schedule.
The rebuilt offensive line, anchored by Cole Best and Jo Simmons, has been uneven. Brown faced heavy pressure against Baylor and Florida, and the run game has been inconsistent. The line's ability to protect Brown and open lanes for running backs Jeremiah Cobb and Bryson Washington will determine whether Auburn's offense can sustain drives against elite defenses.
Kicker Alex McPherson, a Lou Groza Award candidate, drilled the game-winning 34-yard field goal at Georgia and holds Auburn's career record for field goal percentage (88.9%). Punter Hudson Kaak and returner Rayshawn Pleasant add stability. The blocked punt returned for a touchdown by Cade Carlson against Vanderbilt highlighted the unit's big-play potential.
Auburn Tigers is 2-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 33% of games.
Auburn Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +11.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Auburn Tigers's home field advantage rating is 1.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Auburn Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Auburn Tigers travels 2,187 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 138th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Auburn Tigers: 4-2 overall, 2-4 ATS, power rating +11.7 (2026 records).