Auburn Tigers

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Auburn Tigers is 4-2 on the season, 2-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +11.7. Auburn Tigers is covering at just 35% since the start of last season (6-11-1), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Auburn Tigers host LSU next in Week 8.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Jordan-Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Power Rating (most current): +11.7
HFA Rating:1.3 pts
2026 Win Total:6.5
2026 Record: 4-2
2026 ATS: 2-4
2026 O/U: 2-4

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Auburn Tigers Power Rating of +11.7 is 11.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Auburn Tigers have logged 1,006 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 2,187 miles, ranking 138th heaviest in the FBS.

Auburn Tigers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachAlex Golesh
TenureFirst season
Career record23-15 (3 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorsKodi Burns, Joel Gordon
Defensive coordinatorsDJ Durkin, Tim Banks

Offense

Byrum Brown QB, Cole Best OL, Chas Nimrod WR, Keshaun Singleton WR, Jeremiah Koger WR, Jeremiah Cobb RB, Bryson Washington RB, Jake Johnson TE, Jonathan Echols TE, Jo Simmons OL

Defense

Xavier Atkins LB, Elijah Melendez LB, Eric Winters S, Sylvester Smith S, AnQuon Fegans S, Andre Jordan Jr. CB, Cody Sigler DL, Da'Shawn Womack DL, Nate Johnson DL, Saint Farrior DL, Walter Mathis Jr. DL, Jourdin Crawford DL, Jared Smith DL, Darrion Smith DL, Rayshawn Pleasant CB

Special teams

Alex McPherson K, Hudson Kaak P

2025 Season in Review

Record5-7 ATS4-7-1 O/U4-8
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-01-11-1
Week 33-01-21-2
Week 43-11-31-3
Week 53-22-31-4
Week 73-32-41-5
Week 83-42-51-6
Week 94-43-52-6
Week 104-53-62-7
Week 114-63-73-7
Week 135-64-74-7
Week 145-74-7-14-8

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +10.9 in the preseason and finished +11.7 after week 8, a move of +0.8 points. High +11.7 (week 8), low +9.1 (week 7).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +10.9 to +11.7.

PreW8

Auburn Tigers SP+ Profile

Offence+28.455 of 138higher is better
Defence+17.518 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.343 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±7.0 pts
HFA measured-0.8 pts
HFA applied+1.3 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of -0.8 is regressed to +1.3 before it is applied, a difference of 2.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Baylor11-01-0
Southern Miss11-00-1
Florida10-10-1
Vanderbilt42-21-3
Tennessee21-11-1
Georgia111-103-8
LSU83-55-3
Ole Miss86-25-3
Arkansas108-27-3
Mississippi State85-36-2
Samford22-01-1
Alabama102-85-4-1

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home47-2435-35-1 ATS · 71 games
On the road18-2722-22-1 ATS · 45 games
Neutral site3-73-7 ATS · 10 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

2,187 miles - ranked 138th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 2,187 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 02,187 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Baylor101 mi203 mi
Week 2Southern MissHome203 mi
Week 3FloridaHome203 mi
Week 4VanderbiltHome203 mi
Week 5Tennessee248 mi698 mi
Week 6-Bye
Week 7Georgia154 mi1,006 mi
Week 8LSUHome1,006 mi
Week 9Ole Miss263 mi1,532 mi
Week 10ArkansasHome1,532 mi
Week 11Mississippi State201 mi1,933 mi
Week 12SamfordHome1,933 mi
Week 13Alabama127 mi2,187 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Auburn Tigers Season Outlook

New Regime, New Identity

Alex Golesh took over as head coach after a successful stint at South Florida, bringing with him a cadre of offensive players and staff. The offense is built around dual-threat quarterback Byrum Brown, who thrived under Golesh at USF, and a supporting cast that includes center Cole Best and receivers Chas Nimrod, Keshaun Singleton, and Jeremiah Koger. The Tigers are still meshing, as Golesh noted, but the early returns show promise, especially after a statement win at Georgia.

Defense Anchors Early Success

Defensive coordinator DJ Durkin retained his role and has leaned on linebacker Xavier Atkins, a first-team All-SEC pick in 2025 with nine sacks and 17 tackles for loss. The secondary features safeties Eric Winters, Sylvester Smith, and Anquon Fegans, while the defensive line is a mix of transfers like Cody Sigler, Da'Shawn Womack, and Nate Johnson. The unit held Baylor to 16 points and Vanderbilt to 15, but struggled against Florida and Tennessee, allowing 44 and 24 points, respectively.

Brown's Dual-Threat Ability Drives Offense

Byrum Brown has shown flashes of brilliance, notably in the upset of Georgia where he ran for 115 yards and a touchdown on 26 carries. However, turnovers have been a persistent issue: he threw three interceptions in the opener against Baylor and had two picks and a fumble at Tennessee. His decision-making under pressure will be crucial as Auburn navigates the rest of its SEC schedule.

Offensive Line Remains a Work in Progress

The rebuilt offensive line, anchored by Cole Best and Jo Simmons, has been uneven. Brown faced heavy pressure against Baylor and Florida, and the run game has been inconsistent. The line's ability to protect Brown and open lanes for running backs Jeremiah Cobb and Bryson Washington will determine whether Auburn's offense can sustain drives against elite defenses.

Special Teams Provide a Spark

Kicker Alex McPherson, a Lou Groza Award candidate, drilled the game-winning 34-yard field goal at Georgia and holds Auburn's career record for field goal percentage (88.9%). Punter Hudson Kaak and returner Rayshawn Pleasant add stability. The blocked punt returned for a touchdown by Cade Carlson against Vanderbilt highlighted the unit's big-play potential.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Auburn Tigers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Auburn Tigers is 2-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 33% of games.

What is Auburn Tigers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Auburn Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +11.7, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Auburn Tigers's home field advantage rating?

Auburn Tigers's home field advantage rating is 1.3 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Auburn Tigers's 2026 win total?

Auburn Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 6.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Auburn Tigers travel in 2026?

Auburn Tigers travels 2,187 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 138th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Auburn Tigers: 4-2 overall, 2-4 ATS, power rating +11.7 (2026 records).