LSU Tigers

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LSU Tigers is 6-2 on the season, 4-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +22.1. LSU Tigers is covering at just 38% since the start of last season (8-13), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The LSU Tigers host Alabama next in Week 10.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
Power Rating (most current): +22.1
HFA Rating:3.0 pts
2026 Win Total:8.5
2026 Record: 6-2
2026 ATS: 4-4
2026 O/U: 5-3

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the LSU Tigers Power Rating of +22.1 is 22.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. LSU Tigers have logged 2,612 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,601 miles, ranking 109th heaviest in the FBS.

LSU Tigers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachLane Kiffin
TenureFirst season
Career record116-53 (13+ seasons)
Offensive coordinatorsCharlie Weis Jr., Joe Cox
Defensive coordinatorsBlake Baker, Chris Kiffin

Offense

Sam Leavitt QB, Eugene Wilson III WR, Jordan Seaton LT, Harlem Berry RB, Caden Durham RB, Trey'Dez Green TE

Defense

Princewill Umanmielen EDGE, TJ Dottery LB, Ty Benefield S, Whit Weeks LB, DJ Pickett CB

Special teams

Grant Chadwick P, Scott Starzyk K

2025 Season in Review

Record7-6 ATS4-9 O/U4-9
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-00-1
Week 22-01-10-2
Week 33-02-10-3
Week 44-02-21-3
Week 54-12-31-4
Week 75-13-31-5
Week 85-23-42-5
Week 95-33-53-5
Week 115-43-63-6
Week 126-43-73-7
Week 137-43-83-8
Week 147-54-83-9
Postseason7-64-94-9

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +16.8 in the preseason and finished +22.1 after week 8, a move of +5.2 points. High +22.1 (week 8), low +16.8 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +16.8 to +22.1.

PreW8

LSU Tigers SP+ Profile

Offence+32.521 of 138higher is better
Defence+12.52 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.253 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±5.4 pts
HFA measured+4.0 pts
HFA applied+3.0 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +4.0 is regressed to +3.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Clemson22-02-0
Louisiana Tech22-00-2
Ole Miss107-36-4
Texas A&M105-57-3
McNeese11-00-1
Kentucky10-10-1
Mississippi State86-25-3
Auburn85-33-5
Alabama102-84-6
Texas11-01-0
Tennessee21-11-1
Arkansas109-14-5-1

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home55-1234-31-2 ATS · 67 games
On the road24-2023-21 ATS · 44 games
Neutral site10-89-9 ATS · 18 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

4,601 miles - ranked 109th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 4,601 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 04,601 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1ClemsonHome0 mi
Week 2Louisiana TechHome0 mi
Week 3Ole Miss289 mi578 mi
Week 4Texas A&MHome578 mi
Week 5McNeeseHome578 mi
Week 6Kentucky649 mi1,875 mi
Week 7Mississippi StateHome1,875 mi
Week 8Auburn368 mi2,612 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10AlabamaHome2,612 mi
Week 11TexasHome2,612 mi
Week 12Tennessee568 mi3,747 mi
Week 13Arkansas427 mi4,601 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

LSU Tigers Season Outlook

A new regime with a new roster

Lane Kiffin took over in Baton Rouge after leaving Ole Miss and brought a massive overhaul: 59 newcomers, including 43 transfers. The offense is built around quarterback Sam Leavitt, who is still working back from November foot surgery, and a supporting cast that includes transfer left tackle Jordan Seaton, receivers Eugene Wilson III and Trey'Dez Green, and running backs Harlem Berry and Caden Durham. The defense retained coordinator Blake Baker and key pieces like linebacker Whit Weeks and cornerback DJ Pickett, while adding edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen and linebacker TJ Dottery from Ole Miss. The talent is there, but cohesion is the question.

Defense carries the load early, then shows cracks

Through the first five games, Blake Baker's unit was the team's anchor. LSU held Clemson to 10 points, smothered Louisiana Tech to 140 net yards with seven sacks and three turnovers, limited Texas A&M to six points, and kept McNeese to 14. But Kentucky exposed vulnerabilities, racking up 401 yards and 206 passing yards in the second half alone. The secondary, which had not been stress-tested by a competent passing attack, finally was, and it struggled. The pass rush remains elite (Umanmielen had three sacks in Week 2 and leads a deep rotation), but the back end must prove it can hold up against quality quarterbacks.

Offense finds rhythm after uneven start

The Tigers' offense sputtered early, especially in the red zone. Against Louisiana Tech, LSU drove inside the 20 ten times but settled for three field goals and threw two interceptions, including a 100-yard pick six. Leavitt threw eight interceptions in the first six games and was the only FBS quarterback to be intercepted in every game before a clean performance against Mississippi State. The breakthrough came against Texas A&M (35 points) and McNeese (63 points), and Leavitt's four-touchdown, zero-turnover game against Mississippi State showed progress. The offense is trending up, but consistency remains a work in progress.

Injuries mounting at key positions

LSU has been hit hard by injuries. Tight end Trey'Dez Green suffered a right knee injury against Ole Miss and has not returned. Linebacker Whit Weeks, already recovering from a broken ankle, was seen in a walking boot after the Texas A&M game. Edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen left the Mississippi State game with a head injury but appeared okay on the sideline. Receiver Jackson Harris left the Mississippi State game with a lower left leg injury. The depth that Kiffin built through the portal will be tested as the SEC schedule grinds on.

Discipline and road woes are the biggest threats

LSU has been prone to self-inflicted mistakes. Against Louisiana Tech, the Tigers committed 10 penalties for 101 yards and turned the ball over four times. In the loss at Ole Miss, Leavitt threw three interceptions. The road has been unkind: LSU is 0-2 away from Baton Rouge, losing at Ole Miss and at Kentucky in overtime. The Wildcats game featured a costly Leavitt fumble and an interception, plus a punt return touchdown allowed. If the Tigers are to reach the playoff, they must clean up penalties and turnovers and prove they can win in hostile environments. The upcoming trip to Auburn is the next test.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is LSU Tigers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

LSU Tigers is 4-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.

What is LSU Tigers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

LSU Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +22.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is LSU Tigers's home field advantage rating?

LSU Tigers's home field advantage rating is 3.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is LSU Tigers's 2026 win total?

LSU Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does LSU Tigers travel in 2026?

LSU Tigers travels 4,601 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 109th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

LSU Tigers: 6-2 overall, 4-4 ATS, power rating +22.1 (2026 records).