26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
38
Final
45
14
Final
42
24
Final
20
13
Final
6
20
Final
59
49
Final
51
23
Final
52
24
Final
37
38
Final
17
24
Final
25
28
Final
27
20
Final
35
10
Final
21
24
Final
27
56
Final
21
31
Final
39
24
Final
31
20
Final
31
49
Final
39
10
Final
13
23
Final
15
10
Final
28
17
Final
34
49
Final
27
17
Final
28
20
Final
24
21
Final
14
13
Final
28
31
Final
35
0
Final
26
31
Final
10
49
Final
56
20
Final
16
24
Final
57
32
Final
38
3
Final
39
17
Final
20
7
Final
24
27
Final
34
17
Final
34
31
Final
30
42
Final
19
16
Final
21
13
Final
21
LSU Tigers is 6-2 on the season, 4-4 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +22.1. LSU Tigers is covering at just 38% since the start of last season (8-13), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The LSU Tigers host Alabama next in Week 10.
In Week 8 of 2026 the LSU Tigers Power Rating of +22.1 is 22.1 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. LSU Tigers have logged 2,612 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 4,601 miles, ranking 109th heaviest in the FBS.
Sam Leavitt QB, Eugene Wilson III WR, Jordan Seaton LT, Harlem Berry RB, Caden Durham RB, Trey'Dez Green TE
Princewill Umanmielen EDGE, TJ Dottery LB, Ty Benefield S, Whit Weeks LB, DJ Pickett CB
Grant Chadwick P, Scott Starzyk K
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Week 3 | 3-0 | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Week 4 | 4-0 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Week 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 1-5 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Week 9 | 5-3 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Week 11 | 5-4 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Week 12 | 6-4 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Week 13 | 7-4 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Week 14 | 7-5 | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Postseason | 7-6 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +16.8 in the preseason and finished +22.1 after week 8, a move of +5.2 points. High +22.1 (week 8), low +16.8 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.0 is regressed to +3.0 before it is applied, a difference of 1.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Louisiana Tech | 2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Ole Miss | 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Texas A&M | 10 | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| McNeese | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Kentucky | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Mississippi State | 8 | 6-2 | 5-3 |
| Auburn | 8 | 5-3 | 3-5 |
| Alabama | 10 | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Texas | 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Tennessee | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Arkansas | 10 | 9-1 | 4-5-1 |
Week 04,601 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Clemson | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Louisiana Tech | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 3 | Ole Miss | 289 mi | 578 mi |
| Week 4 | Texas A&M | Home | 578 mi |
| Week 5 | McNeese | Home | 578 mi |
| Week 6 | Kentucky | 649 mi | 1,875 mi |
| Week 7 | Mississippi State | Home | 1,875 mi |
| Week 8 | Auburn | 368 mi | 2,612 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Alabama | Home | 2,612 mi |
| Week 11 | Texas | Home | 2,612 mi |
| Week 12 | Tennessee | 568 mi | 3,747 mi |
| Week 13 | Arkansas | 427 mi | 4,601 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Lane Kiffin took over in Baton Rouge after leaving Ole Miss and brought a massive overhaul: 59 newcomers, including 43 transfers. The offense is built around quarterback Sam Leavitt, who is still working back from November foot surgery, and a supporting cast that includes transfer left tackle Jordan Seaton, receivers Eugene Wilson III and Trey'Dez Green, and running backs Harlem Berry and Caden Durham. The defense retained coordinator Blake Baker and key pieces like linebacker Whit Weeks and cornerback DJ Pickett, while adding edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen and linebacker TJ Dottery from Ole Miss. The talent is there, but cohesion is the question.
Through the first five games, Blake Baker's unit was the team's anchor. LSU held Clemson to 10 points, smothered Louisiana Tech to 140 net yards with seven sacks and three turnovers, limited Texas A&M to six points, and kept McNeese to 14. But Kentucky exposed vulnerabilities, racking up 401 yards and 206 passing yards in the second half alone. The secondary, which had not been stress-tested by a competent passing attack, finally was, and it struggled. The pass rush remains elite (Umanmielen had three sacks in Week 2 and leads a deep rotation), but the back end must prove it can hold up against quality quarterbacks.
The Tigers' offense sputtered early, especially in the red zone. Against Louisiana Tech, LSU drove inside the 20 ten times but settled for three field goals and threw two interceptions, including a 100-yard pick six. Leavitt threw eight interceptions in the first six games and was the only FBS quarterback to be intercepted in every game before a clean performance against Mississippi State. The breakthrough came against Texas A&M (35 points) and McNeese (63 points), and Leavitt's four-touchdown, zero-turnover game against Mississippi State showed progress. The offense is trending up, but consistency remains a work in progress.
LSU has been hit hard by injuries. Tight end Trey'Dez Green suffered a right knee injury against Ole Miss and has not returned. Linebacker Whit Weeks, already recovering from a broken ankle, was seen in a walking boot after the Texas A&M game. Edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen left the Mississippi State game with a head injury but appeared okay on the sideline. Receiver Jackson Harris left the Mississippi State game with a lower left leg injury. The depth that Kiffin built through the portal will be tested as the SEC schedule grinds on.
LSU has been prone to self-inflicted mistakes. Against Louisiana Tech, the Tigers committed 10 penalties for 101 yards and turned the ball over four times. In the loss at Ole Miss, Leavitt threw three interceptions. The road has been unkind: LSU is 0-2 away from Baton Rouge, losing at Ole Miss and at Kentucky in overtime. The Wildcats game featured a costly Leavitt fumble and an interception, plus a punt return touchdown allowed. If the Tigers are to reach the playoff, they must clean up penalties and turnovers and prove they can win in hostile environments. The upcoming trip to Auburn is the next test.
LSU Tigers is 4-4 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 50% of games.
LSU Tigers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +22.1, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
LSU Tigers's home field advantage rating is 3.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
LSU Tigers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 8.5 wins, priced at -130 over and +100 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
LSU Tigers travels 4,601 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 109th heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
LSU Tigers: 6-2 overall, 4-4 ATS, power rating +22.1 (2026 records).