Tennessee Volunteers is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +16.3. Tennessee Volunteers enters the season with a power rating of +16.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Tennessee Volunteers head to Georgia Tech next in Week 2. In 2025, Tennessee Volunteers went 8-5 overall, 5-8 against the spread, and 8-5 on totals.
In Week 1 of 2026 the Tennessee Volunteers Power Rating of +16.3 is 16.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Tennessee Volunteers have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,819 miles, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.
George MacIntyre QB, Ryan Staub QB, Faizon Brandon QB, Braylon Staley WR, DeSean Bishop RB, Javin Gordon RB, Daune Morris RB, Joakim Dodson WR
Chaz Coleman EDGE, Daevin Hobbs DL, Amare Campbell LB, Arion Carter LB, Edwin Spillman LB, Jadon Perlotte LB, Ty Redmond CB, TJ Metcalf S, DJ Burks S, Edrees Farooq S
Cooper Ranvier K, Jackson Ross P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Week 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 4-5 | 7-2 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 5-7 | 8-4 |
| Postseason | 8-5 | 5-8 | 8-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +15.8 in the preseason and finished +16.3 after week 2, a move of +0.5 points. High +16.6 (week 1), low +15.8 (the preseason).
PreW2
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Auburn | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Arkansas | 3 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Alabama | 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| South Carolina | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Kentucky | 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Texas A&M | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| LSU | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Vanderbilt | 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Furman, Kennesaw State, Texas.
Week 03,819 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Furman | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Georgia Tech | 153 mi | 305 mi |
| Week 3 | Kennesaw State | Home | 305 mi |
| Week 4 | Texas | Home | 305 mi |
| Week 5 | Auburn | Home | 305 mi |
| Week 6 | Arkansas | 574 mi | 1,454 mi |
| Week 7 | Alabama | Home | 1,454 mi |
| Week 8 | South Carolina | 214 mi | 1,882 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Kentucky | Home | 1,882 mi |
| Week 11 | Texas A&M | 807 mi | 3,495 mi |
| Week 12 | LSU | Home | 3,495 mi |
| Week 13 | Vanderbilt | 162 mi | 3,819 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
The biggest preseason question was who would replace Joey Aguilar, and after one game it looks answered. Faizon Brandon, the 5-star freshman, threw for 226 yards and three touchdowns while adding two rushing scores in the opener against Furman, becoming the first SEC player since Cam Newton to do that in his debut. He also ran for 68 yards on 10 carries, showing the mobility that offensive coordinator Joey Halzle's system demands. Coach Josh Heupel praised his poise, and the deep ball was on display with two long scoring passes to Mike Matthews. Redshirt freshman George MacIntyre took over in the second half, but Brandon has clearly earned the starting role heading into the Georgia Tech road game.
After last season's defensive struggles cost Tim Banks his job, new coordinator Jim Knowles brought in familiar faces from Penn State, and they made an instant impact. Defensive tackle Xavier Gilliam, a Penn State transfer, sacked Furman's quarterback three times, and the unit held the Paladins to just nine points, all of which came after Tennessee turnovers. The defensive front, featuring Chaz Coleman and Daevin Hobbs, controlled the line of scrimmage, while the secondary with transfers TJ Metcalf and DJ Burks looked solid. The Vols forced Furman into just 36 passing yards and limited their offense to a single touchdown run. It is only one game against an FCS opponent, but the early returns suggest Knowles has already improved a unit that was the team's biggest liability in 2025.
DeSean Bishop, who rushed for 1,076 yards last season, picked up where he left off with 97 yards and a touchdown against Furman. He did lose a fumble, one of several turnovers that kept the game from being even more lopsided. Justin Baker added a 73-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter, showing depth behind Bishop. The offensive line, which returns five starters, opened holes all day, and the Vols finished with over 200 rushing yards. However, the fumbles and the slow start in the first quarter, when they managed just 32 rushing yards, are reminders that this offense is still finding its rhythm. Protecting the ball will be critical in closer games against SEC opponents.
The Furman blowout was a confidence builder, but it will not move the needle much for a team ranked No. 20. Next up is a road game at Georgia Tech, where the Vols will face a hostile environment and a defense that, while coming off a loss, is far more athletic than Furman's. The preseason scouting report noted that Tennessee's offense relies on the quarterback's confidence and mobility, and Brandon will get his first true test away from Knoxville. The Vols are favored by 13 points, but the Yellow Jackets have a power rating that suggests they are not a pushover. After that, the SEC schedule looms with its usual gauntlet of tough opponents, leaving little room for error if Tennessee hopes to improve on last year's 8-5 record.
Cooper Ranvier, the All-ACC kicker from Louisville, handled kicking duties in the opener, and punter Jackson Ross returns for his fourth season. Joakim Dodson, who returned a kickoff for a touchdown in the Music City Bowl, gives the return game a big-play threat. The Vols also showed depth at running back with Baker's long touchdown run and at quarterback with MacIntyre getting valuable reps. However, the receiving corps is young beyond Braylon Staley, and the defense still has to prove it can hold up against Power Four competition. The opener answered some questions, but the real test begins now, and how the team handles adversity on the road will define whether this season is a step forward or another disappointment.
Tennessee Volunteers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.
Tennessee Volunteers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +16.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Tennessee Volunteers's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Tennessee Volunteers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Tennessee Volunteers travels 3,819 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Tennessee Volunteers: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +16.3 (2026 records).