Tennessee Volunteers

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Tennessee Volunteers is 1-0 on the season, 0-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +16.3. Tennessee Volunteers enters the season with a power rating of +16.3, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Tennessee Volunteers head to Georgia Tech next in Week 2. In 2025, Tennessee Volunteers went 8-5 overall, 5-8 against the spread, and 8-5 on totals.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Power Rating (most current): +16.3
HFA Rating:2.9 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 1-0
2026 ATS: 0-1
2026 O/U: 0-1

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 1 of 2026 the Tennessee Volunteers Power Rating of +16.3 is 16.3 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Tennessee Volunteers have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,819 miles, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.

Tennessee Volunteers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJosh Heupel
Tenure5 seasons
Record at school45-20
Career record73-28 (8 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJoey Halzle
Defensive coordinatorsJim Knowles, Anthony Poindexter

Offense

George MacIntyre QB, Ryan Staub QB, Faizon Brandon QB, Braylon Staley WR, DeSean Bishop RB, Javin Gordon RB, Daune Morris RB, Joakim Dodson WR

Defense

Chaz Coleman EDGE, Daevin Hobbs DL, Amare Campbell LB, Arion Carter LB, Edwin Spillman LB, Jadon Perlotte LB, Ty Redmond CB, TJ Metcalf S, DJ Burks S, Edrees Farooq S

Special teams

Cooper Ranvier K, Jackson Ross P

2025 Season in Review

Record8-5 ATS5-8 O/U8-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-02-02-0
Week 32-13-03-0
Week 43-13-14-0
Week 54-13-25-0
Week 75-13-35-1
Week 85-23-45-2
Week 96-24-46-2
Week 106-34-57-2
Week 127-34-67-3
Week 138-35-67-4
Week 148-45-78-4
Postseason8-55-88-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +15.8 in the preseason and finished +16.3 after week 2, a move of +0.5 points. High +16.6 (week 1), low +15.8 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 4 points, from +15.8 to +16.3.

PreW2

Tennessee Volunteers SP+ Profile

Offence+38.74 of 138higher is better
Defence+23.049 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.432 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.4 pts
HFA measured+4.1 pts
HFA applied+2.9 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Georgia Tech11-00-1
Auburn21-11-1
Arkansas31-20-3
Alabama102-83-7
South Carolina84-44-4
Kentucky108-28-2
Texas A&M31-21-2
LSU21-11-1
Vanderbilt106-43-7

No meeting on record since 2016: Furman, Kennesaw State, Texas.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home48-2232-38 ATS · 70 games
On the road17-2620-23 ATS · 43 games
Neutral site9-37-5 ATS · 12 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,819 miles - ranked 123rd heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,819 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,819 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1FurmanHome0 mi
Week 2Georgia Tech153 mi305 mi
Week 3Kennesaw StateHome305 mi
Week 4TexasHome305 mi
Week 5AuburnHome305 mi
Week 6Arkansas574 mi1,454 mi
Week 7AlabamaHome1,454 mi
Week 8South Carolina214 mi1,882 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10KentuckyHome1,882 mi
Week 11Texas A&M807 mi3,495 mi
Week 12LSUHome3,495 mi
Week 13Vanderbilt162 mi3,819 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Tennessee Volunteers Season Outlook

Freshman QB Faizon Brandon has seized the job and electrified the offense

The biggest preseason question was who would replace Joey Aguilar, and after one game it looks answered. Faizon Brandon, the 5-star freshman, threw for 226 yards and three touchdowns while adding two rushing scores in the opener against Furman, becoming the first SEC player since Cam Newton to do that in his debut. He also ran for 68 yards on 10 carries, showing the mobility that offensive coordinator Joey Halzle's system demands. Coach Josh Heupel praised his poise, and the deep ball was on display with two long scoring passes to Mike Matthews. Redshirt freshman George MacIntyre took over in the second half, but Brandon has clearly earned the starting role heading into the Georgia Tech road game.

The rebuilt defense under Jim Knowles showed immediate signs of life

After last season's defensive struggles cost Tim Banks his job, new coordinator Jim Knowles brought in familiar faces from Penn State, and they made an instant impact. Defensive tackle Xavier Gilliam, a Penn State transfer, sacked Furman's quarterback three times, and the unit held the Paladins to just nine points, all of which came after Tennessee turnovers. The defensive front, featuring Chaz Coleman and Daevin Hobbs, controlled the line of scrimmage, while the secondary with transfers TJ Metcalf and DJ Burks looked solid. The Vols forced Furman into just 36 passing yards and limited their offense to a single touchdown run. It is only one game against an FCS opponent, but the early returns suggest Knowles has already improved a unit that was the team's biggest liability in 2025.

Running game remains a strength, but ball security is a concern

DeSean Bishop, who rushed for 1,076 yards last season, picked up where he left off with 97 yards and a touchdown against Furman. He did lose a fumble, one of several turnovers that kept the game from being even more lopsided. Justin Baker added a 73-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter, showing depth behind Bishop. The offensive line, which returns five starters, opened holes all day, and the Vols finished with over 200 rushing yards. However, the fumbles and the slow start in the first quarter, when they managed just 32 rushing yards, are reminders that this offense is still finding its rhythm. Protecting the ball will be critical in closer games against SEC opponents.

The schedule gets much tougher starting with a road test at Georgia Tech

The Furman blowout was a confidence builder, but it will not move the needle much for a team ranked No. 20. Next up is a road game at Georgia Tech, where the Vols will face a hostile environment and a defense that, while coming off a loss, is far more athletic than Furman's. The preseason scouting report noted that Tennessee's offense relies on the quarterback's confidence and mobility, and Brandon will get his first true test away from Knoxville. The Vols are favored by 13 points, but the Yellow Jackets have a power rating that suggests they are not a pushover. After that, the SEC schedule looms with its usual gauntlet of tough opponents, leaving little room for error if Tennessee hopes to improve on last year's 8-5 record.

Special teams and depth provide a solid foundation, but questions remain

Cooper Ranvier, the All-ACC kicker from Louisville, handled kicking duties in the opener, and punter Jackson Ross returns for his fourth season. Joakim Dodson, who returned a kickoff for a touchdown in the Music City Bowl, gives the return game a big-play threat. The Vols also showed depth at running back with Baker's long touchdown run and at quarterback with MacIntyre getting valuable reps. However, the receiving corps is young beyond Braylon Staley, and the defense still has to prove it can hold up against Power Four competition. The opener answered some questions, but the real test begins now, and how the team handles adversity on the road will define whether this season is a step forward or another disappointment.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tennessee Volunteers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Tennessee Volunteers is 0-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 0% of games.

What is Tennessee Volunteers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Tennessee Volunteers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +16.3, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Tennessee Volunteers's home field advantage rating?

Tennessee Volunteers's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Tennessee Volunteers's 2026 win total?

Tennessee Volunteers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Tennessee Volunteers travel in 2026?

Tennessee Volunteers travels 3,819 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Tennessee Volunteers: 1-0 overall, 0-1 ATS, power rating +16.3 (2026 records).