26
Final
23
38
Final
61
13
Final
20
30
Final
24
34
Final
6
31
Final
34
34
Final
41
16
Final
35
19
Final
16
38
Final
35
14
Final
28
28
Final
31
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
Tennessee Volunteers is 6-1 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +18.8. Tennessee Volunteers holds a power rating of +18.8, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Tennessee Volunteers head to South Carolina next in Week 8.
In Week 7 of 2026 the Tennessee Volunteers Power Rating of +18.8 is 18.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Tennessee Volunteers have logged 1,454 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,819 miles, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.
George MacIntyre QB, Ryan Staub QB, Faizon Brandon QB, Braylon Staley WR, DeSean Bishop RB, Javin Gordon RB, Daune Morris RB, Joakim Dodson WR
Chaz Coleman EDGE, Daevin Hobbs DL, Amare Campbell LB, Arion Carter LB, Edwin Spillman LB, Jadon Perlotte LB, Ty Redmond CB, TJ Metcalf S, DJ Burks S, Edrees Farooq S
Cooper Ranvier K, Jackson Ross P
| After | Record | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Week 2 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Week 3 | 2-1 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Week 4 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 4-0 |
| Week 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Week 7 | 5-1 | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Week 8 | 5-2 | 3-4 | 5-2 |
| Week 9 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 6-2 |
| Week 10 | 6-3 | 4-5 | 7-2 |
| Week 12 | 7-3 | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Week 13 | 8-3 | 5-6 | 7-4 |
| Week 14 | 8-4 | 5-7 | 8-4 |
| Postseason | 8-5 | 5-8 | 8-5 |
A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.
Opened +15.8 in the preseason and finished +18.8 after week 8, a move of +3.0 points. High +18.8 (week 8), low +15.8 (the preseason).
PreW8
SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.
Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.
The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.
| Opponent | Met | Record | ATS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | 1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Auburn | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Arkansas | 3 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Alabama | 10 | 2-8 | 3-7 |
| South Carolina | 8 | 4-4 | 4-4 |
| Kentucky | 10 | 8-2 | 8-2 |
| Texas A&M | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| LSU | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Vanderbilt | 10 | 6-4 | 3-7 |
No meeting on record since 2016: Furman, Kennesaw State, Texas.
Week 03,819 mi total
| Week | Opponent | Distance | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Week 0 | - | Bye | |
| Week 1 | Furman | Home | 0 mi |
| Week 2 | Georgia Tech | 153 mi | 305 mi |
| Week 3 | Kennesaw State | Home | 305 mi |
| Week 4 | Texas | Home | 305 mi |
| Week 5 | Auburn | Home | 305 mi |
| Week 6 | Arkansas | 574 mi | 1,454 mi |
| Week 7 | Alabama | Home | 1,454 mi |
| Week 8 | South Carolina | 214 mi | 1,882 mi |
| Week 9 | - | Bye | |
| Week 10 | Kentucky | Home | 1,882 mi |
| Week 11 | Texas A&M | 807 mi | 3,495 mi |
| Week 12 | LSU | Home | 3,495 mi |
| Week 13 | Vanderbilt | 162 mi | 3,819 mi |
| Week 14 | - | Bye | |
| Week 15 | - | Bye | |
| Week 16 | - | Bye | |
| Postseason | - | Bye | |
Tennessee's offense has leaned heavily on DeSean Bishop, who has been the engine all season. He ran for 97 yards in the opener, 147 and two scores at Georgia Tech, a career-high 220 and three touchdowns on 34 carries against Auburn, 138 at Arkansas (including a 59-yarder that set up the winning score), and 159 with two more touchdowns in the upset of Alabama. When Bishop was banged up against Kennesaw State, Daune Morris stepped in for 116 yards and a score. The Vols have gotten uneven quarterback play, but Bishop has kept the chains moving and taken pressure off the young passers.
The preseason concern about replacing Joey Aguilar has proven valid. Faizon Brandon won the job early and showed flashes (five total touchdowns in his debut), but he was pulled against Auburn after a slow start and then missed the Arkansas game with a shoulder issue. George MacIntyre stepped in and delivered efficient relief against Auburn (8 of 10, 86 yards) and a 247-yard, one-touchdown, two-interception performance in his first start at Arkansas. He then managed the Alabama win with 197 passing yards. Coach Josh Heupel has not committed to a starter going forward, saying the staff will play it by ear. The uncertainty at the position remains the biggest question mark.
Jim Knowles' arrival as defensive coordinator has paid off. The Vols have been especially stingy at home, holding Alabama to 201 total yards (54 rushing) and forcing four turnovers in a 26-10 win. They also limited Auburn to 14 points and Texas to 20 in a three-point loss. The front, led by Xavier Gilliam (three sacks vs Furman) and transfers Chaz Coleman and Amare Campbell, has been disruptive, while Arion Carter anchors the linebackers. The secondary, with Ty Redmond, TJ Metcalf, DJ Burks, and Edrees Farooq, has held up despite some penalty issues. This unit is no longer the liability it was last season.
Tennessee has been flagged frequently, most notably 14 times for 142 yards at Georgia Tech, including several defensive pass interference calls. The Vols also allowed a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in that game. Slow starts have been a pattern: they led just 21-0 at halftime against Furman, 21-3 at the break versus Kennesaw State, and trailed Auburn 7-3 at halftime. Against elite competition, those mistakes can be costly, as seen in the three-point loss to Texas. Cleaning up penalties and starting faster will be key down the stretch.
At 6-1 and 3-1 in the SEC, Tennessee has positioned itself as a legitimate contender for a College Football Playoff spot. The remaining schedule includes a road trip to South Carolina, where the market currently favors the Gamecocks by 2.5 points, and other challenging SEC matchups. The Vols have already beaten Alabama and shown they can win in different ways. If the quarterback situation stabilizes and the defense continues to play at a high level, Tennessee has a real chance to finish strong. However, the margin for error remains thin, and the team must avoid the penalties and slow starts that have plagued them.
Tennessee Volunteers is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.
Tennessee Volunteers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +18.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.
Tennessee Volunteers's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.
Tennessee Volunteers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.
Tennessee Volunteers travels 3,819 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.
Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.
Tennessee Volunteers: 6-1 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating +18.8 (2026 records).