Tennessee Volunteers

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Tennessee Volunteers is 6-1 on the season, 4-3 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +18.8. Tennessee Volunteers holds a power rating of +18.8, ranking them among the stronger teams in the FBS and suggesting consistent line value as a favourite. The Tennessee Volunteers head to South Carolina next in Week 8.

Conference: Southeastern Conference
Stadium: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Power Rating (most current): +18.8
HFA Rating:2.9 pts
2026 Win Total:7.5
2026 Record: 6-1
2026 ATS: 4-3
2026 O/U: 1-6

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 7 of 2026 the Tennessee Volunteers Power Rating of +18.8 is 18.8 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Tennessee Volunteers have logged 1,454 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 3,819 miles, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.

Tennessee Volunteers Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachJosh Heupel
Tenure5 seasons
Record at school45-20
Career record73-28 (8 seasons)
Offensive coordinatorJoey Halzle
Defensive coordinatorsJim Knowles, Anthony Poindexter

Offense

George MacIntyre QB, Ryan Staub QB, Faizon Brandon QB, Braylon Staley WR, DeSean Bishop RB, Javin Gordon RB, Daune Morris RB, Joakim Dodson WR

Defense

Chaz Coleman EDGE, Daevin Hobbs DL, Amare Campbell LB, Arion Carter LB, Edwin Spillman LB, Jadon Perlotte LB, Ty Redmond CB, TJ Metcalf S, DJ Burks S, Edrees Farooq S

Special teams

Cooper Ranvier K, Jackson Ross P

2025 Season in Review

Record8-5 ATS5-8 O/U8-5
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-01-01-0
Week 22-02-02-0
Week 32-13-03-0
Week 43-13-14-0
Week 54-13-25-0
Week 75-13-35-1
Week 85-23-45-2
Week 96-24-46-2
Week 106-34-57-2
Week 127-34-67-3
Week 138-35-67-4
Week 148-45-78-4
Postseason8-55-88-5

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened +15.8 in the preseason and finished +18.8 after week 8, a move of +3.0 points. High +18.8 (week 8), low +15.8 (the preseason).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from +15.8 to +18.8.

PreW8

Tennessee Volunteers SP+ Profile

Offence+38.74 of 138higher is better
Defence+23.049 of 138lower is better
Special teams+0.432 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±2.4 pts
HFA measured+4.1 pts
HFA applied+2.9 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of +4.1 is regressed to +2.9 before it is applied, a difference of 1.3 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Georgia Tech11-00-1
Auburn21-11-1
Arkansas31-20-3
Alabama102-83-7
South Carolina84-44-4
Kentucky108-28-2
Texas A&M31-21-2
LSU21-11-1
Vanderbilt106-43-7

No meeting on record since 2016: Furman, Kennesaw State, Texas.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home48-2232-38 ATS · 70 games
On the road17-2620-23 ATS · 43 games
Neutral site9-37-5 ATS · 12 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

3,819 miles - ranked 123rd heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 3,819 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 03,819 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1FurmanHome0 mi
Week 2Georgia Tech153 mi305 mi
Week 3Kennesaw StateHome305 mi
Week 4TexasHome305 mi
Week 5AuburnHome305 mi
Week 6Arkansas574 mi1,454 mi
Week 7AlabamaHome1,454 mi
Week 8South Carolina214 mi1,882 mi
Week 9-Bye
Week 10KentuckyHome1,882 mi
Week 11Texas A&M807 mi3,495 mi
Week 12LSUHome3,495 mi
Week 13Vanderbilt162 mi3,819 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Tennessee Volunteers Season Outlook

Ground game carries the load

Tennessee's offense has leaned heavily on DeSean Bishop, who has been the engine all season. He ran for 97 yards in the opener, 147 and two scores at Georgia Tech, a career-high 220 and three touchdowns on 34 carries against Auburn, 138 at Arkansas (including a 59-yarder that set up the winning score), and 159 with two more touchdowns in the upset of Alabama. When Bishop was banged up against Kennesaw State, Daune Morris stepped in for 116 yards and a score. The Vols have gotten uneven quarterback play, but Bishop has kept the chains moving and taken pressure off the young passers.

Quarterback carousel continues

The preseason concern about replacing Joey Aguilar has proven valid. Faizon Brandon won the job early and showed flashes (five total touchdowns in his debut), but he was pulled against Auburn after a slow start and then missed the Arkansas game with a shoulder issue. George MacIntyre stepped in and delivered efficient relief against Auburn (8 of 10, 86 yards) and a 247-yard, one-touchdown, two-interception performance in his first start at Arkansas. He then managed the Alabama win with 197 passing yards. Coach Josh Heupel has not committed to a starter going forward, saying the staff will play it by ear. The uncertainty at the position remains the biggest question mark.

Defense reborn under Knowles

Jim Knowles' arrival as defensive coordinator has paid off. The Vols have been especially stingy at home, holding Alabama to 201 total yards (54 rushing) and forcing four turnovers in a 26-10 win. They also limited Auburn to 14 points and Texas to 20 in a three-point loss. The front, led by Xavier Gilliam (three sacks vs Furman) and transfers Chaz Coleman and Amare Campbell, has been disruptive, while Arion Carter anchors the linebackers. The secondary, with Ty Redmond, TJ Metcalf, DJ Burks, and Edrees Farooq, has held up despite some penalty issues. This unit is no longer the liability it was last season.

Penalties and slow starts persist

Tennessee has been flagged frequently, most notably 14 times for 142 yards at Georgia Tech, including several defensive pass interference calls. The Vols also allowed a blocked punt returned for a touchdown in that game. Slow starts have been a pattern: they led just 21-0 at halftime against Furman, 21-3 at the break versus Kennesaw State, and trailed Auburn 7-3 at halftime. Against elite competition, those mistakes can be costly, as seen in the three-point loss to Texas. Cleaning up penalties and starting faster will be key down the stretch.

Schedule ramps up, opportunity awaits

At 6-1 and 3-1 in the SEC, Tennessee has positioned itself as a legitimate contender for a College Football Playoff spot. The remaining schedule includes a road trip to South Carolina, where the market currently favors the Gamecocks by 2.5 points, and other challenging SEC matchups. The Vols have already beaten Alabama and shown they can win in different ways. If the quarterback situation stabilizes and the defense continues to play at a high level, Tennessee has a real chance to finish strong. However, the margin for error remains thin, and the team must avoid the penalties and slow starts that have plagued them.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Tennessee Volunteers's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Tennessee Volunteers is 4-3 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 57% of games.

What is Tennessee Volunteers's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Tennessee Volunteers holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +18.8, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Tennessee Volunteers's home field advantage rating?

Tennessee Volunteers's home field advantage rating is 2.9 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Tennessee Volunteers's 2026 win total?

Tennessee Volunteers's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 7.5 wins, priced at -120 over and -110 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Tennessee Volunteers travel in 2026?

Tennessee Volunteers travels 3,819 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 123rd heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Tennessee Volunteers: 6-1 overall, 4-3 ATS, power rating +18.8 (2026 records).