DraftKings · as of October 8, 2026
Alabama (power rating: 27.3) carries a 9.5-point advantage over Tennessee (17.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Tennessee's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) narrows that gap at Neyland Stadium. The market line is Alabama -4.5 and our model shows Alabama -6.7; Clear edge toward Alabama. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Neyland Stadium shows Clear, 70°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Alabama as 66% favorites to beat Tennessee (34%). That implies a market-derived spread of Alabama -4.4, in line with the bookmaker line of Alabama -4.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Alabama -6.7, a modest gap from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
70°F
| Measure | AlabamaAway | TennesseeHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 280 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,148 miles |
| Season total | 1,175 miles | 1,454 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Alabama travels 280 miles to this game, a short road trip. Alabama arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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