Florida State Seminoles

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Florida State Seminoles is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of +8.9. Florida State Seminoles enters the season with a power rating of +8.9, placing them above average relative to the FBS midpoint. The Florida State Seminoles host New Mexico State next in Week 0. In 2025, Florida State Seminoles went 5-7 overall, 5-7 against the spread, and 5-7 on totals.

Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference
Stadium: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Power Rating: +8.9
HFA Rating:3.0 pts
Record: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
O/U: 0-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 0 of 2026 the Florida State Seminoles Power Rating of +8.9 is 8.7 points above the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Florida State Seminoles have logged 0 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 6,071 miles, ranking 88th heaviest in the FBS.

2026 Season Travel Profile

6,071 miles - ranked 88th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0New Mexico StateHome0 mi
Week 1SMUHome0 mi
Week 2Bye
Week 3Alabama270 mi540 mi
Week 4Central ArkansasHome540 mi
Week 5VirginiaHome540 mi
Week 6Louisville542 mi1,624 mi
Week 7Miami396 mi2,415 mi
Week 8Bye
Week 9ClemsonHome2,415 mi
Week 10Boston College1,097 mi4,609 mi
Week 11Pittsburgh731 mi6,071 mi
Week 12NC StateHome6,071 mi
Week 13FloridaHome6,071 mi
Week 14Bye
Week 15Bye
Week 16Bye

Florida State Seminoles Season Outlook

Quarterback uncertainty and offensive line turnover define the offense

Florida State enters 2026 with a new starting quarterback for the third straight year, Ashton Daniels, who has been inconsistent at Auburn. The offensive line is being replaced entirely for the second consecutive season, creating major questions about protection and run game consistency. The Seminoles do have explosive playmakers at receiver (Duce Robinson, Micahi Danzy) and a deep running back room (Quintrevion Wisner, Ousmane Kromah, Samuel Singleton Jr.), but the success of the offense hinges on Daniels' ability to stay upright and make timely throws.

Defensive overhaul brings experience but questions remain up front

The Seminoles revamped their defense with key transfers, including linebacker Chris Jones (Southern Miss) who was a top-10 FBS tackler in 2025, and Mikai Gbayor (North Carolina) who reunites with coordinator Tony White. The secondary is anchored by cornerback Ja'Bril Rawls and rover Ashlynd Barker. However, the defensive line is a concern: only one edge rusher (Rylan Kennedy) was added via the portal, and the team relies on twin tackles Darryll and Mandrell Desir plus Daniel Lyons to generate pressure. This unit must prove it can stop the run and rush the passer consistently.

Special teams are a blank slate with transfer additions

Florida State brought in a new kicker (Gabe Panikowski from Oklahoma State), punter (Daniel Hughes from New Mexico), and long-snapper (Caleb Bowers from North Dakota State), making this unit an unknown quantity. The return game has potential with dynamic threats like Singleton, Danzy, Jasen Lopez, and Devin Carter, but consistency in coverage and kicking will be critical in close games.

Mike Norvell is on the hot seat with a brutal schedule ahead

Head coach Mike Norvell enters his seventh season at Florida State with a 38-34 record and mounting pressure. The Seminoles have missed the postseason four times in six years and are 7-18 since the 2023 CFP snub. The schedule is unforgiving: after hosting SMU on Labor Day, they travel to Alabama, and face two separate two-game road trips. FSU has not won a road game outside Doak Campbell Stadium in over two years, making every away contest a potential tipping point for Norvell's tenure.

Booster support and culture volatility are underlying concerns

An opposing ACC assistant coach noted that Florida State lacks the booster support many assume, and that the program has struggled with complacency after initial success. The Seminoles have a new group of players and some new coaches, but the question is whether they can sustain focus and avoid the inconsistency that has plagued recent seasons. The players must take charge to reverse the trend, but the margin for error is razor-thin given the schedule and the pressure on Norvell.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Florida State Seminoles's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Florida State Seminoles is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.

What is Florida State Seminoles's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Florida State Seminoles holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of +8.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Florida State Seminoles's home field advantage rating?

Florida State Seminoles's home field advantage rating is 3.0 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

How many miles does Florida State Seminoles travel in 2026?

Florida State Seminoles travels 6,071 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 88th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Florida State Seminoles: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating +8.9.