Week 5September 27, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
27
3-1
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.5
@
FINAL
22
2-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -13.4

By · Last updated

Western Kentucky defeated Missouri State 27–22 in a closely contested finish. Western Kentucky covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 10.5.

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity: 17,500
Elevation: 1339 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Western Kentucky -3.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Odds Implied Score WKU 31.5 - 28.0 MOST
Power Rank Implied Line Western Kentucky -0.9
Prediction Markets Western Kentucky 63% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Western Kentucky @ Missouri State Preview

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Western Kentucky
Missouri State
Home field: Plaster Sports Complex
Weather: Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Western Kentucky vs Missouri State?

At kick-off, conditions at Plaster Sports Complex were Cloudy, 64.9°F, Feels Like 64.9°F with winds of 3.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 27, 2025
Cloudy

Cloudy

64.9°F

Feels Like: 64.9°F
Wind: 3.4 mph SSW
Gusts: 6.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 78%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Western Kentucky (Away)

This Week: 377.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1089.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Missouri State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4041.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

What happened in the game?

Western Kentucky travels 377 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Western Kentucky won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Western Kentucky covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do Western Kentucky and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Western Kentucky (-12.5) over Missouri State (-13.4) by 0.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Missouri State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Western Kentucky won and Western Kentucky covered the spread.