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Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
Oregon @ Penn State
4-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 24.9
30 FINAL 24
3-0
Big Ten
Power Rank: 15.4
Oregon covered by 9.5 | Game went Over by 1.5

By · Last updated

Oregon defeated Penn State 30–24 in a closely contested finish.

Oregon @ Penn State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Beaver Stadium
Capacity: 106,572
Elevation: 1178 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Penn State -3.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score ORE 24.5 - 28.0 PSU
Power Rank Implied Line Oregon +9.5
Prediction Markets Penn State 62% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Mist

Mist

14.4°F

Wind Chill: 5.6°F
Wind: 6.0 mph WSW
Gusts: 12.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Oregon (Away)

This Week: 2293.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6361.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 7

Penn State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 358.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Penn State -3.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Oregon 24.9
Penn State 15.4
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 2293 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Penn State +7
HFA: Beaver Stadium
Capacity 106,572
Elevation 1178 ft
Weather: Mist
Temperature 14.4°F
Wind Speed 6.0 mph
Your Line Penn State -9.5
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Oregon vs Penn State?

Oregon: Key Factors

Penn State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Oregon travels 2,293 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Oregon arrives with a 3-hour body clock disadvantage.

Oregon won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Oregon covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Beaver Stadium?

At 14.4°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Oregon and Penn State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Oregon (24.9) over Penn State (15.4) by 9.5 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Penn State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Penn State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Oregon and Penn State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Oregon won and Oregon covered the spread.