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Week 5 •
Canvas Stadium

Washington State20 @FINAL 3Colorado State

2-2 Pac-12 Power rating: -1.2
1-2 MW Power rating: -10.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CSU -4.5
PM Implied
CSU -4.2
Blue Chip model
WSU -7.0
Edge
-11.5WSU
See details
◂ favors WSUfavors CSU ▸Market: CSU -4.5
WSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CSU
no impact
no impact
CSU
no impact
5 WSU5 CSU10 WSU10 CSUModel: WSU -7.0

Betting information

Spread
CSU -4.5
Total
48.5
Odds implied score
WSU 22.0 – 26.5 CSU
Prediction markets
CSU 67% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Washington State defeated Colorado State 20–3 to secure a comfortable win. Washington State covered by 21.5; Game went Under by 25.5. The market closed at Colorado State -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Washington State -7.0 - a gap of 11.5 points toward Washington State, of which 10.4 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Washington State vs Colorado State?

At kickoff, conditions at Canvas Stadium were Partly cloudy, 59°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Washington State travels 738 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Washington State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Washington State won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

Washington State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 25.5 points.

How do Washington State and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Washington State (-1.2) over Colorado State (-10.6) by 9.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Washington State and Colorado State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Washington State won and Washington State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

59°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity65%
Wind2 mph NW
Gusts4 mph
Wind map for Washington State at Colorado State: aerial view of Canvas Stadium, wind from the NW at 2 mph, gusting to 4.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
05:30 PM MDT
Venue
Canvas Stadium
Capacity
41,000
Elevation
5,010 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Washington StateAway Colorado StateHome
This week738 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total3,551 miles1,965 miles
Body clock16:3017:30
Rest7 days6 days

Other games this week