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Week 5 •
Fifth Third Stadium

Middle Tennessee16 @FINAL 24Kennesaw State

1-3 CUSA Power rating: -20.1
2-2 CUSA Power rating: -3.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
KENN -7.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
KENN -18.7
Edge
+11.7KENN
See details
◂ favors MTSUfavors KENN ▸Market: KENN -7.0
16.2 › KENN
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
KENN
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
5 MTSU5 KENN10 MTSU10 KENNModel: KENN -18.7

Betting information

Spread
KENN -7.0
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
MTSU 23.8 – 30.8 KENN

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kennesaw State defeated Middle Tennessee 24–16 in a one-score game. Kennesaw State covered by 1.0; Game went Under by 14.5. The market closed at Kennesaw State -7.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Kennesaw State -18.7 - a gap of 11.7 points toward Kennesaw State, of which 10.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State?

At kickoff, conditions at Fifth Third Stadium were Partly cloudy, 71°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 162 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Middle Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Kennesaw State won by 8 in a one-score game.

Kennesaw State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

How do Middle Tennessee and Kennesaw State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Kennesaw State (-3.9) over Middle Tennessee (-20.1) by 16.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kennesaw State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Middle Tennessee and Kennesaw State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Kennesaw State won and Kennesaw State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

71°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity87%
Wind5 mph NNW
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State: aerial view of Fifth Third Stadium, wind from the NNW at 4.5 mph, gusting to 8.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM EDT
Venue
Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity
10,200
Elevation
1,096 ft
Surface
Hybrid

Travel and rest

Middle TennesseeAway Kennesaw StateHome
This week162 miles3 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total4,889 miles1,313 miles
Body clock17:0018:00
Rest7 days7 days

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