14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 10:00 PM UTC
Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw State
1-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -20.1
16 FINAL 24
2-2
CUSA
Power Rank: -3.9
Middle Tennessee covered by 0.5 | Game went Under by 11.5

By · Last updated

Kennesaw State defeated Middle Tennessee 24–16 in a one-score game.

Middle Tennessee @ Kennesaw State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity: 10,200
Elevation: 1096 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Hybrid

Betting Information

Spread Kennesaw State -8.5
Total (O/U) 51.5
Expected Score MTSU 21.5 - 30.0 KENN
Power Rank Implied Line Kennesaw State +16.2
Prediction Markets Middle Tennessee 50% Kennesaw State 50% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

30.5°F

Wind Chill: 25.3°F
Wind: 4.9 mph WSW
Gusts: 10.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 52%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Middle Tennessee (Away)

This Week: 161.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7273.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 7

Kennesaw State (Home)

This Week: 2.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1447.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Kennesaw State -8.5
Total Points 51.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Middle Tennessee -20.1
Kennesaw State -3.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 162 mi
Home Team Travel 3 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Fifth Third Stadium
Capacity 10,200
Elevation 1096 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 30.5°F
Wind Speed 4.9 mph
Your Line Kennesaw State +16.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State?

Middle Tennessee: Key Factors

Kennesaw State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Middle Tennessee travels 162 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Middle Tennessee arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Kennesaw State won by 8 in a one-score game.

Middle Tennessee covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 11.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Fifth Third Stadium?

At 30.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Middle Tennessee and Kennesaw State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Kennesaw State (-3.9) over Middle Tennessee (-20.1) by 16.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Kennesaw State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Middle Tennessee and Kennesaw State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Kennesaw State won and Middle Tennessee covered the spread.