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Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
San Diego State @ Northern Illinois
2-1
MW
Power Rank: 2.0
6 FINAL 3
1-2
MAC
Power Rank: -12.3
San Diego State covered by 0.5 | Game went Under by 33.5

By · Last updated

San Diego State defeated Northern Illinois 6–3 in a nail-biter.

San Diego State @ Northern Illinois Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Huskie Stadium
Capacity: 28,211
Elevation: 896 ft
HFA Rating: 1.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread San Diego State -2.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score SDSU 22.5 - 20.0 NIU
Power Rank Implied Line San Diego State +14.3
Prediction Markets San Diego State 54% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

21.3°F

Wind Chill: 11.2°F
Wind: 8.9 mph NNW
Gusts: 15.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.05"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 51%

Travel & Rest

San Diego State (Away)

This Week: 1673.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4843.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 6

Northern Illinois (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1169.4 miles
Season Total: 2479.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line San Diego State -2.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
San Diego State 2.0
Northern Illinois -12.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1673 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Northern Illinois +1
HFA: Huskie Stadium
Capacity 28,211
Elevation 896 ft
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Temperature 21.3°F
Wind Speed 8.9 mph
Your Line Northern Illinois -14.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for San Diego State vs Northern Illinois?

San Diego State: Key Factors

Northern Illinois: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

San Diego State travels 1,673 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

San Diego State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

San Diego State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

San Diego State covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 33.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Huskie Stadium?

At 21.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 81%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do San Diego State and Northern Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour San Diego State (2.0) over Northern Illinois (-12.3) by 14.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Northern Illinois faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Northern Illinois brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on San Diego State and Northern Illinois?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

San Diego State won and San Diego State covered the spread.