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Week 14 •
CEFCU Stadium

Fresno State41 @FINAL 14San José State

7-4 MW Power rating: -2.5
3-8 MW Power rating: -2.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
FRES -3.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -2.6
Edge
+5.6SJSU
See details
◂ favors FRESfavors SJSU ▸Market: FRES -3.0
SJSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SJSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 FRES2 SJSU4 FRES4 SJSU6 FRES6 SJSUModel: SJSU -2.6

Betting information

Spread
FRES -3.0
Total
45.5
Odds implied score
FRES 24.3 – 21.3 SJSU

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Fresno State defeated San José State 41–14 to secure a comfortable win. Fresno State covered by 24.0; Game went Over by 9.5. The market closed at Fresno State -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it San José State -2.6 - a gap of 5.6 points toward San José State, of which 4.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Fresno State vs San José State?

At kickoff, conditions at CEFCU Stadium were Mist, 48°F with winds of 0 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Fresno State travels 122 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Fresno State won by 27 to secure a comfortable win.

Fresno State covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 9.5 points.

How do Fresno State and San José State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San José State (-2.0) over Fresno State (-2.5) by 0.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. San José State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Fresno State and San José State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Fresno State won and Fresno State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Mist

48°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind0 mph NE
Gusts0 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Fresno State at San José State: aerial view of CEFCU Stadium, wind from the NE at 0.2 mph, gusting to 0.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PST
Venue
CEFCU Stadium
Capacity
18,203
Elevation
105 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Fresno StateAway San José StateHome
This week122 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game825 miles
Season total11,650 miles7,235 miles
Body clock19:3019:30
Rest7 days7 days

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