Week 14 • November 28, 2025, 09:00 PM UTC
7-4
MW
Power Rank: 10.7
25 FINAL 24
6-5
MW
Power Rank: -2.9
Utah State covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 6.5

Boise State defeated Utah State 25–24 in a nail-biter.

Boise State @ Utah State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM MST
Stadium: Maverik Stadium
Capacity: 25,513
Elevation: 4721 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Boise State -3.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score BOIS 29.5 - 26.0 USU
Power Rank Implied Line Boise State +13.6
Prediction Markets Boise State 54% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

36.4°F

Wind Chill: 33.9°F
Wind: 3.4 mph ESE
Gusts: 7.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 47%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Boise State (Away)

This Week: 257.2 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 11127.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 6

Utah State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1090.0 miles
Season Total: 14154.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 5

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Boise State -3.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Boise State 10.7
Utah State -2.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 257 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Boise State +1
HFA: Maverik Stadium
Capacity 25,513
Elevation 4721 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 36.4°F
Wind Speed 3.4 mph
Your Line Utah State -13.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Boise State vs Utah State?

Boise State: Key Factors

Utah State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Boise State travels 257 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Boise State won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Utah State covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Boise State and Utah State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (10.7) over Utah State (-2.9) by 13.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Utah State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Utah State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Boise State won and Utah State covered the spread.