San José State

By · Last updated

San José State is 0-0 on the season, 0-0 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -14.9. San José State enters the season with a power rating of -14.9, placing them below average relative to the FBS midpoint. The San José State head to USC next in Week 0. In 2025, San José State went 3-9 overall, 4-8 against the spread, and 7-5 on totals.

Conference: Mountain West Conference
Stadium: CEFCU Stadium, San Jose, CA
Power Rating: -14.9
HFA Rating:2.1 pts
Record: 0-0
ATS: 0-0
O/U: 0-0

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 0 of 2026 the San José State Power Rating of -14.9 is 15.1 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. San José State have logged 608 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 13,681 miles, ranking 11th heaviest in the FBS.

2026 Season Travel Profile

13,681 miles - ranked 11th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0USC304 mi608 mi
Week 1Eastern Michigan2,045 mi4,698 mi
Week 2Cal PolyHome4,698 mi
Week 3Fresno StateHome4,698 mi
Week 4Bye
Week 5Hawai'i2,414 mi9,527 mi
Week 6WyomingHome9,527 mi
Week 7UTEP954 mi11,436 mi
Week 8Nevada190 mi11,815 mi
Week 9New MexicoHome11,815 mi
Week 10Northern IllinoisHome11,815 mi
Week 11Air Force933 mi13,681 mi
Week 12UNLVHome13,681 mi
Week 13North Dakota StateHome13,681 mi
Week 14Bye
Week 15Bye
Week 16Bye

San José State Season Outlook

Quarterback competition remains unsettled

The Spartans enter the season with a three-way battle at quarterback between Robert McDaniel, Luke Weaver, and Daniel Rolovich. McDaniel was the leader in spring, but none have significant starting experience. The offense was second in the Mountain West in passing last year but threw 17 interceptions, so ball security is a major focus. The winner must protect the football to keep the offense on schedule.

Wide receiver room reloads after losing stars

San José State has produced the nation's leading receiver in each of Ken Niumatalolo's first two seasons (Nick Nash in 2024, Danny Scudero in 2025), but both are gone. Malachi Riley returns after missing all of 2025 with a lower-body injury and is expected to be the top target. Penn State transfer Anthony Ivey adds experience. The system has a track record of elevating receivers, but this group is unproven.

Defense is rebuilding with new faces and injuries

The Spartans allowed the second-highest passer rating in the Mountain West and tied for a league-low seven interceptions last season. Key contributors like corner Greco Carrillo and linebacker Zane Carter missed 2025 due to injury but are expected to start. FCS transfers Aizik Mahuka (Weber State) and Brian Dukes Jr. (Cal Poly) are stepping into key roles. The defense has many questions and will need to improve quickly.

Offensive line returns only two starters but was elite in pass protection

The offensive line allowed a league-low 13 sacks last season, but only two starters return. Senior center Joseph Harbert is a potential all-conference player and the anchor of the unit. The line's ability to protect a new quarterback and open holes for running back Jabari Bates (7.1 yards per carry last year) will be critical to the offense's success.

Special teams could be a strength with an all-league punter

Punter Trent Carrizosa averaged 45.6 yards per kick last season and is an all-league candidate. The placekicking battle between Mathias Brown (4-for-7 on field goals) and Idaho State transfer Trajan Sinatra is unresolved. Reliable kicking could be a difference-maker in close games, especially for a team with an uncertain offense and a rebuilding defense.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is San José State's against-the-spread record in 2026?

San José State is 0-0 against the spread in the 2026 season.

What is San José State's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

San José State holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -14.9, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is San José State's home field advantage rating?

San José State's home field advantage rating is 2.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

How many miles does San José State travel in 2026?

San José State travels 13,681 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 11th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

San José State: 0-0 overall, 0-0 ATS, power rating -14.9.