DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Louisiana Tech defeated Missouri State 42–30 in a double-digit victory. Louisiana Tech covered by 14.5; Game went Over by 26.5. The market closed at Missouri State -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Louisiana Tech -8.5 - a gap of 11.0 points toward Louisiana Tech, of which 9.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
At kickoff, conditions at Plaster Sports Complex were Overcast, 33°F, wind chill 22°F with winds of 20 mph. Wind of 20 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 26 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. At 33°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
33°F
| Measure | Louisiana TechAway | Missouri StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 324 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,073 miles |
| Season total | 8,620 miles | 9,132 miles |
| Body clock | 13:00 | 13:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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