Week 14November 29, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
0
5-6
SEC
Power Rank: 7.5
@
FINAL
41
7-4
ACC
Power Rank: 18.4

By · Last updated

Louisville defeated Kentucky 41–0 in a dominant performance. Louisville covered by 42.5; Game went Under by 4.5.

General Information

Week: Week 14
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity: 60,800
Elevation: 466 ft
HFA Rating: 3.2
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Kentucky -1.5
Total (O/U) 45.5
Odds Implied Score UK 23.5 - 22.0 LOU
Power Rank Implied Line Louisville -10.9
Prediction Markets Louisville 54% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Kentucky @ Louisville Preview

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Louisville +10.9
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
Louisville perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
Kentucky
Louisville
Home field: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Kentucky vs Louisville?

At kick-off, conditions at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium were Overcast, 34.3°F, Wind Chill 25.3°F with winds of 8.5 mph. At 34.3°F, cold conditions may be a minor factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 29, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

34.3°F

Wind Chill: 25.3°F
Wind: 8.5 mph SSE
Gusts: 12.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.75"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Kentucky (Away)

This Week: 69.4 miles
Last Week: 363.3 miles
Season Total: 2445.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Louisville (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1444.9 miles
Season Total: 4540.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Kentucky vs Louisville?

Louisville: Key Factors

Dominant Rushing Attack from Freshmen

Despite missing top three running backs, true freshman walk-on Braxton Jennings (113 yards) and redshirt freshman Shaun Boykins Jr. (101 yards, TD) each rushed for over 100 yards, leading a 258-yard ground game that was Louisville's second-best of the season.

Miller Moss Returns and Shines

Quarterback Miller Moss, returning from a foot injury, completed 12 of 20 passes for 182 yards and accounted for four touchdowns (three passing, one rushing), providing a steady hand for the offense.

Defensive and Special Teams Dominance

Louisville's defense held Kentucky to a season-low 147 yards, forced two turnovers, and allowed only 2-of-14 third-down conversions. A blocked punt in the first quarter set up the opening score, showcasing a complete team effort.

Rivalry Shutout and Historic Win

The 41-0 victory was Louisville's largest margin of win in the series since 1994 and their first shutout of Kentucky in 21 years, snapping a three-game losing streak and providing a major morale boost.

Bowl Game Ahead with Momentum

Louisville improved to 8-4 and will play in a bowl game (destination announced Dec. 7). The blowout win gives the Cardinals a chance to win at least nine games for the third straight season, building confidence despite key injuries.

What happened in the game?

Kentucky travels 69 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Louisville won by 41 in a dominant performance.

Louisville covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 4.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium?

At 34.3°F, cold conditions may be a minor factor in this game.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Kentucky and Louisville compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Louisville (18.4) over Kentucky (7.5) by 10.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Louisville brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Louisville won and Louisville covered the spread.