Iowa State defeated Oklahoma State 20–13 in a one-score game. Oklahoma State covered by 7.0; Game went Under by 13.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Boone Pickens Stadium were Cloudy, 43.3°F, Wind Chill 35.4°F with winds of 25.1 mph. Wind of 25.1 mph is a significant factor: Blue Chip Analytics rates games above 25 mph as high-wind, which historically suppresses totals and kicking accuracy. Gusts reaching 31.1 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
43.3°F
Iowa State travels 446 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Iowa State won by 7 in a one-score game.
Oklahoma State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 13.5 points.
Wind of 25.1 mph is a significant factor: Blue Chip Analytics rates games above 25 mph as high-wind, which historically suppresses totals and kicking accuracy.
Gusts reaching 31.1 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Iowa State (13.2) over Oklahoma State (-13.2) by 26.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Iowa State won and Oklahoma State covered the spread.
