DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Iowa State defeated Oklahoma State 20–13 in a one-score game. Oklahoma State covered by 7.0; Game went Under by 13.5. The market closed at Iowa State -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa State -22.8 - a gap of 8.8 points toward Iowa State, of which 7.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
At kickoff, conditions at Boone Pickens Stadium were Cloudy, 43°F, wind chill 35°F with winds of 25 mph. Wind of 25 mph is the most significant condition here. Across 3,138 games, sustained wind at or above 15 mph moved the total down by about 1.7 points from open to close, and the effect is on the total rather than the side. Gusts reaching 31 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Cloudy
43°F
| Measure | Iowa StateAway | Oklahoma StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 446 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 2,122 miles |
| Season total | 12,767 miles | 7,836 miles |
| Body clock | 11:00 | 11:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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