26 Final 23 38 Final 61 13 Final 20 30 Final 24 34 Final 6 31 Final 34 34 Final 41 16 Final 35 19 Final 16 38 Final 35 14 Final 28 28 Final 31 38 Final 45 14 Final 42 24 Final 20 13 Final 6 20 Final 59 49 Final 51 23 Final 52 24 Final 37 38 Final 17 24 Final 25 28 Final 27 20 Final 35 10 Final 21 24 Final 27 56 Final 21 31 Final 39 24 Final 31 20 Final 31 49 Final 39 10 Final 13 23 Final 15 10 Final 28 17 Final 34 49 Final 27 17 Final 28 20 Final 24 21 Final 14 13 Final 28 31 Final 35 0 Final 26 31 Final 10 49 Final 56 20 Final 16 24 Final 57 32 Final 38 3 Final 39 17 Final 20 7 Final 24 27 Final 34 17 Final 34 31 Final 30 42 Final 19 16 Final 21 13 Final 21
Week 14 •
Boone Pickens Stadium

Iowa State20 @FINAL 13Oklahoma State

7-4 Big 12 Power rating: 13.2
1-10 Big 12 Power rating: -13.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ISU -14.0
PM Implied
ISU -10.4
Blue Chip model
ISU -22.8
Edge
-8.8ISU
See details
◂ favors ISUfavors OKST ▸Market: ISU -14.0
‹ 26.4 ISU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
OKST
no impact
no impact
no impact
OKST
5 ISU5 OKST10 ISU10 OKSTModel: ISU -22.8

Betting information

Spread
ISU -14.0
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
ISU 30.3 – 16.3 OKST
Prediction markets
ISU 84% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Iowa State defeated Oklahoma State 20–13 in a one-score game. Oklahoma State covered by 7.0; Game went Under by 13.5. The market closed at Iowa State -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Iowa State -22.8 - a gap of 8.8 points toward Iowa State, of which 7.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Iowa State vs Oklahoma State?

At kickoff, conditions at Boone Pickens Stadium were Cloudy, 43°F, wind chill 35°F with winds of 25 mph. Wind of 25 mph is the most significant condition here. Across 3,138 games, sustained wind at or above 15 mph moved the total down by about 1.7 points from open to close, and the effect is on the total rather than the side. Gusts reaching 31 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Iowa State travels 446 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Iowa State won by 7 in a one-score game.

Oklahoma State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Iowa State and Oklahoma State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Iowa State (13.2) over Oklahoma State (-13.2) by 26.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Iowa State and Oklahoma State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Iowa State won and Oklahoma State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

43°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity65%
Wind25 mph NNW
Gusts31 mph
Wind chill35°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Iowa State at Oklahoma State: aerial view of Boone Pickens Stadium, wind from the NNW at 25.1 mph, gusting to 31.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CST
Venue
Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity
52,305
Elevation
965 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Iowa StateAway Oklahoma StateHome
This week446 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,122 miles
Season total12,767 miles7,836 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest7 days7 days

Other games this week