DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Duke defeated Wake Forest 49–32 to secure a comfortable win. Duke covered by 14.5; Game went Over by 27.5. The market closed at Duke -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Duke -11.1 - a gap of 8.6 points toward Duke, of which 7.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Wake Forest committed four turnovers and 97 yards in penalties, which directly contributed to their loss. This lack of discipline and ball security will need to be addressed to avoid similar outcomes in future games.
The Demon Deacons allowed a season-high 49 points, continuing a trend of giving up at least 30 points in all four losses. Their defense will need to improve significantly to compete in their bowl game.
Robby Ashford threw for 342 yards and two touchdowns, and added a rushing touchdown and two-point conversion. The offense showed ability to move the ball, but turnovers and penalties undermined their efforts.
The loss ended a three-game winning streak that included victories over SMU and Virginia. The team must regroup and find consistency to finish the season strong in their bowl matchup.
At kickoff, conditions at Wallace Wade Stadium were Clear, 37°F, wind chill 34°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
37°F
| Measure | Wake ForestAway | DukeHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 74 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 17 miles |
| Season total | 6,097 miles | 8,857 miles |
| Body clock | 15:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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