DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
UAB defeated Tulsa 31–24 in a one-score game. UAB covered by 16.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Tulsa -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UAB -1.3 - a gap of 10.8 points toward UAB, of which 9.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
At kickoff, conditions at Chapman Stadium were Partly cloudy, 39°F, wind chill 29°F with winds of 19 mph. Wind of 19 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly cloudy
39°F
| Measure | UABAway | TulsaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 549 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 2,474 miles |
| Season total | 6,727 miles | 9,018 miles |
| Body clock | 14:00 | 14:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
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