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Week 14 •
Chapman Stadium

UAB31 @FINAL 24Tulsa

3-8 American Power rating: -9.6
4-7 American Power rating: -13.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TLSA -9.5
PM Implied
TLSA -6.9
Blue Chip model
UAB -1.3
Edge
-10.8UAB
See details
◂ favors UABfavors TLSA ▸Market: TLSA -9.5
UAB
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TLSA
no impact
no impact
no impact
TLSA
5 UAB5 TLSA10 UAB10 TLSAModel: UAB -1.3

Betting information

Spread
TLSA -9.5
Total
56.5
Odds implied score
UAB 23.5 – 33.0 TLSA
Prediction markets
TLSA 75% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UAB defeated Tulsa 31–24 in a one-score game. UAB covered by 16.5; Game went Under by 1.5. The market closed at Tulsa -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UAB -1.3 - a gap of 10.8 points toward UAB, of which 9.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for UAB vs Tulsa?

At kickoff, conditions at Chapman Stadium were Partly cloudy, 39°F, wind chill 29°F with winds of 19 mph. Wind of 19 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UAB travels 549 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

UAB won by 7 in a one-score game.

UAB covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

How do UAB and Tulsa compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UAB (-9.6) over Tulsa (-13.2) by 3.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Tulsa faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Tulsa brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UAB and Tulsa?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

UAB won and UAB covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 29, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

39°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity70%
Wind19 mph NNW
Gusts27 mph
Wind chill29°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UAB at Tulsa: aerial view of Chapman Stadium, wind from the NNW at 18.6 mph, gusting to 27.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
02:00 PM CST
Venue
Chapman Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
804 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UABAway TulsaHome
This week549 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,474 miles
Season total6,727 miles9,018 miles
Body clock14:0014:00
Rest7 days7 days

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