DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Arizona defeated Arizona State 23–7 in a double-digit victory. Arizona covered by 14.5; Game went Under by 18.5. The market closed at Arizona -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Arizona State -3.5 - a gap of 5.0 points toward Arizona State, of which 4.2 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Arizona State committed five turnovers (three interceptions, two lost fumbles) against Arizona, directly leading to 20 unanswered points and a 23-7 loss. Quarterback Jeff Sims, starting for the injured Sam Leavitt, was responsible for all five turnovers, finishing 11-of-25 for 114 yards.
The Sun Devils managed only 214 total yards and were held to 15 yards in the first quarter. Their only touchdown came on a 90-yard drive capped by Sims' 27-yard run, but a missed field goal and inability to sustain drives prevented them from building momentum.
Arizona State's defense forced a fumble and blocked a field goal, keeping the game close at 7-3 halftime. However, the offense's turnovers put the defense in difficult positions, ultimately leading to the loss.
The loss eliminated Arizona State from Big 12 championship contention, ending their repeat title hopes. The Sun Devils (8-4, 6-3) will now likely play in a lower-tier bowl game after reaching the CFP last season.
With Sam Leavitt injured and Jeff Sims struggling (3-1 as starter but with five turnovers in this game), Arizona State faces a decision at quarterback for their upcoming bowl game. Sims' performance raises questions about his reliability in high-stakes situations.
At kickoff, conditions at Mountain America Stadium were Clear, 56°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
56°F
| Measure | ArizonaAway | Arizona StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 100 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,171 miles |
| Season total | 8,672 miles | 8,920 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 6 days |
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