Week 14
Huskie Stadium

Kent State35 @FINAL 31Northern Illinois , Week 14, Nov 28, 2025

4-7 MAC Power rating: -23.0
3-8 MAC Power rating: -12.1

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NIU -4.5
PM Implied
NIU -4.1
Blue Chip model
NIU -11.5
Edge
+7.0NIU
See details
◂ favors KENTfavors NIU ▸Market: NIU -4.5
10.9 › NIU
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NIU
no impact
no impact
no impact
KENT
5 KENT5 NIUModel: NIU -11.5

Betting information

Spread
NIU -4.5
Total
44.5
Odds implied score
KENT 20.0 – 24.5 NIU
Prediction markets
NIU 66% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Kent State defeated Northern Illinois 35–31 in a closely contested finish. Kent State covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 21.5. The market closed at Northern Illinois -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Northern Illinois -11.5 - a gap of 7.0 points toward Northern Illinois, of which 5.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Northern Illinois 10.9 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Kent State vs Northern Illinois?

At kickoff, conditions at Huskie Stadium were Partly cloudy, 30°F, wind chill 25°F with winds of 7 mph. At 30°F this is a freezing game. Cold is a scoring-environment factor rather than a side factor: Blue Chip has not measured a reliable spread effect from temperature. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Kent State travels 391 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Kent State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Kent State won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Kent State covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 21.5 points.

How do Kent State and Northern Illinois compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Northern Illinois (-12.1) over Kent State (-23.0) by 10.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Northern Illinois brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Kent State won and Kent State covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 28, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

30°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity53%
Wind7 mph WNW
Gusts11 mph
Wind chill25°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Kent State at Northern Illinois: aerial view of Huskie Stadium, wind from the WNW at 6.5 mph, gusting to 11 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CST
Venue
Huskie Stadium
Capacity
28,211
Elevation
896 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Kent StateAway Northern IllinoisHome
This week391 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total7,042 miles5,999 miles
Body clock12:0011:00
Rest8 days9 days