Northern Illinois Huskies

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Northern Illinois Huskies is 0-7 on the season, 1-5-1 against the spread, and holds a power rating of -23.5. Northern Illinois Huskies is covering at just 22% since the start of last season (4-14-1), below the FBS average, a notable trend for spread bettors. The Northern Illinois Huskies head to UNLV next in Week 9.

Conference: Mountain West Conference
Stadium: Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, IL
Power Rating (most current): -23.5
HFA Rating:1.1 pts
2026 Win Total:3.5
2026 Record: 0-7
2026 ATS: 1-5-1
2026 O/U: 4-3

2026 Schedule & Results

In Week 8 of 2026 the Northern Illinois Huskies Power Rating of -23.5 is 23.5 points below the FBS average according to Blue Chip Analytics. Northern Illinois Huskies have logged 6,035 miles of travel so far, out of a season total of 13,589 miles, ranking 14th heaviest in the FBS.

Northern Illinois Huskies Coaching Staff and Key Players

Head coachRob Harley
TenureFirst season
Offensive coordinatorsTony Petersen, Quinn Sanders
Defensive coordinatorRob Harley

Offense

Brady Davidson QB, Jalen Macon QB, Ean Hamric QB, Telly Johnson Jr. RB, DeAree Rogers WR, Rickey Taylor Jr. WR, Landon Hron OL, Ross Liegel OL

Defense

Justin Harris S, Tyrese Stanley S, Dev'ion Reynolds CB, Yassine Falke CB, Broderick Windham LB, Cooper Mau LB, Kimar Nelson LB, Amari Washington DL, Jacob McGhee DL

Special teams

Jake Ference P

2025 Season in Review

Record3-9 ATS3-9 O/U6-6
Running totals after each week played. Cumulative, not per week.
AfterRecordATSO/U
Week 11-00-10-1
Week 21-11-10-2
Week 41-21-20-3
Week 51-31-30-4
Week 61-41-41-4
Week 71-51-51-5
Week 81-61-62-5
Week 92-62-62-6
Week 112-72-73-6
Week 123-73-74-6
Week 133-83-85-6
Week 143-93-96-6

A season record is a record, not a forecast. Blue Chip Analytics' own research finds that beating the closing line repeats at close to zero from one season to the next - see most underrated and overrated teams. Read the table as what happened, not as what is likely to happen next.

2026 Power Rating Trajectory

Opened -15.6 in the preseason and finished -23.5 after week 8, a move of -7.9 points. High -15.6 (the preseason), low -23.5 (week 8).

Line chart of the 2026 Blue Chip Analytics power rating across 10 points, from -15.6 to -23.5.

PreW8

Northern Illinois Huskies SP+ Profile

Offence+13.8132 of 138higher is better
Defence+31.8105 of 138lower is better
Special teams-0.290 of 138higher is better

SP+ is an independent opponent-adjusted efficiency rating, one of the systems blended into the Blue Chip Analytics power rating rather than a Blue Chip Analytics number itself. Defensive SP+ measures points allowed, so a lower figure is a better defence - the rank beside it already accounts for that.

How Confident Is This Rating?

Sources blended5
Source spread±1.4 pts
HFA measured-2.0 pts
HFA applied+1.1 pts

Source spread is how far apart the independent rating systems are on this team, not a margin of error on our own number. A wide spread means the models disagree, which is itself worth knowing.

The measured home field advantage of -2.0 is regressed to +1.1 before it is applied, a difference of 3.1 points. A single venue's raw result carries a lot of noise, so the applied figure is pulled toward the league pattern. See how much is home field advantage really worth.

Record Against 2026 Opponents

Regular and postseason meetings, 2016–2025. Over/under history begins in 2017 and 2020 was shortened by COVID, so game counts vary.
OpponentMetRecordATS
Iowa10-10-1
Illinois State11-01-0
Wyoming20-20-1-1

No meeting on record since 2016: Arizona, Georgia State, Air Force, Hawai'i, UNLV, San José State, Nevada, North Dakota State, UTEP.

Home, Road and Neutral, 2016–2025

At home27-2717-35-2 ATS · 54 games
On the road25-3433-25-1 ATS · 59 games
Neutral site4-46-2 ATS · 8 games

2026 Season Travel Profile

13,589 miles - ranked 14th heaviest in FBS (138 teams)
Cumulative travel of 13,589 round-trip miles across the 2026 season.

Week 013,589 mi total

Week Opponent Distance Cumulative
Week 0-Bye
Week 1Iowa144 mi289 mi
Week 2Illinois StateHome289 mi
Week 3Arizona1,390 mi3,069 mi
Week 4Georgia State614 mi4,297 mi
Week 5-Bye
Week 6Air ForceHome4,297 mi
Week 7Wyoming869 mi6,035 mi
Week 8Hawai'iHome6,035 mi
Week 9UNLV1,471 mi8,976 mi
Week 10San José State1,782 mi12,541 mi
Week 11NevadaHome12,541 mi
Week 12North Dakota State524 mi13,589 mi
Week 13UTEPHome13,589 mi
Week 14-Bye
Week 15-Bye
Week 16-Bye
Postseason-Bye

Northern Illinois Huskies Season Outlook

Transition Year Turns into a Winless Grind

Northern Illinois is 0-6 in Rob Harley's first season as interim head coach, and the move to the Mountain West has been unforgiving. The Huskies have been outscored 218-85 and have yet to win a game, with their closest result a 28-24 home loss to FCS Illinois State in Week 2. The schedule has included a road trip to No. 22 Iowa (a 40-0 shutout) and a cross-country flight to Arizona (a 42-17 loss), and the team has already logged over 3,000 travel miles. The offense ranks near the bottom nationally, and the defense has been gashed on the ground repeatedly. With six games left, including four against Mountain West opponents, the Huskies are still searching for their first win and any sign of progress under a first-time head coach.

Run Defense Is the Root of the Problem

Northern Illinois has not stopped a competent rushing attack all season. Iowa's Kamari Moulton ran for a career-high 183 yards and two touchdowns in Week 1. Illinois State closed out its win with an 11-play, 75-yard drive that ate over five minutes. Georgia State's Lanear McCrary Jr. went for 111 yards and a score. Air Force did not complete a pass yet still beat the Huskies with Evan Medders and Owen Allen combining for more than 200 yards and four rushing touchdowns. Wyoming's Tyler Hughes ran for a career-high 183 yards and four scores. The front seven, expected to be anchored by Amari Washington and Jacob McGhee, has been the weak point of a defense that was supposed to be carried by its secondary. Until the Huskies can hold up on early downs, opposing offenses will continue to control tempo and keep the NIU offense off the field.

Quarterback Carousel and Offensive Inconsistency

The preseason three-way battle between Brady Davidson, Jalen Macon, and Ean Hamric never produced a clear starter, and Taron Dickens has taken most of the snaps. The results have been uneven: 22-of-27 for 193 yards against an FCS defense, then 320 yards against Georgia State, then 13-of-20 for 140 yards and an interception against Air Force, then 216 yards and a touchdown against Wyoming. The Huskies have scored just 85 points in six games, and the passing game has been dink-and-dunk for most of the season, with DeAree Rogers the only consistent target. The lack of a downfield threat outside Rogers caps the offense's ceiling, and the unsettled starter has prevented any rhythm from developing. Until the quarterback situation stabilizes and the line gives him time, the offense will remain limited.

Bright Spots: Secondary and Young Skill Players

Despite the losses, the secondary remains the team's best unit. Safeties Justin Harris and Tyrese Stanley, both junior-college transfers, have been solid, and corners Dev'ion Reynolds and Yassine Falke have made plays. An Ellis' 30-yard pick-six against Illinois State sparked a 17-point second quarter and showed the defense's takeaway ability. On offense, running back Telly Johnson Jr. has shown flashes, including a 139-yard effort against Wyoming with a 13-yard touchdown, and DeAree Rogers has been a volume receiver (11 catches for 74 yards against Illinois State) and a rushing threat (107 yards and a score against Georgia State). These young players are the foundation for future seasons, but they need more help around them to turn competitive moments into wins.

What to Watch: Can the Huskies Find a Win?

The remaining schedule offers opportunities. The next game is at home against Hawai'i, a 1-6 team with a power rating only slightly better than NIU's. The Huskies will need to fix their run defense and find consistency on offense to capitalize. Beyond that, games against fellow Mountain West opponents give them chances to measure progress. The key will be whether the offensive line can generate movement in the run game and protect the quarterback, and whether the defense can force turnovers and get off the field on third down. With a young roster and a new coaching staff, the rest of the season is about building an identity and showing improvement, even if wins remain elusive.

Sources

Schedule & Results

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Northern Illinois Huskies's against-the-spread record in 2026?

Northern Illinois Huskies is 1-5-1 against the spread in the 2026 season, covering 17% of games.

What is Northern Illinois Huskies's Blue Chip Analytics power rating?

Northern Illinois Huskies holds a Blue Chip Analytics power rating of -23.5, representing their expected point margin against an average FBS team on a neutral field.

What is Northern Illinois Huskies's home field advantage rating?

Northern Illinois Huskies's home field advantage rating is 1.1 points, the venue adjustment Blue Chip Analytics applies for games at their home stadium.

What is Northern Illinois Huskies's 2026 win total?

Northern Illinois Huskies's consensus regular-season win total for 2026 is 3.5 wins, priced at +105 over and -135 under. This is the betting market's expectation, not a Blue Chip Analytics projection.

How many miles does Northern Illinois Huskies travel in 2026?

Northern Illinois Huskies travels 13,589 miles in the 2026 season, ranking 14th heaviest in the FBS.

How does Blue Chip Analytics calculate cumulative travel distance?

Cumulative travel distance counts both the outbound and return journey for every away game. For example, if a team travels 374 miles to play an away game, Blue Chip Analytics counts 748 miles (374 miles there, 374 miles back) toward the cumulative total. Home games and bye weeks add zero miles. The per-week Distance column shows the one-way distance only, as the return trip happens after the game is played.

Northern Illinois Huskies: 0-7 overall, 1-5-1 ATS, power rating -23.5 (2026 records).