Week 8 •
University Stadium (NM)

North Dakota State @ New Mexico , Week 8, Oct 25, 2026

5-0 MW Power rating: 2.0
4-1 MW Power rating: 6.3

Is there value in the North Dakota State vs New Mexico line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UNM -7.0
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ND Stfavors UNM ▸
4.3 › UNM
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1 ND St1 UNM2 ND St2 UNMModel: UNM -7.0

New Mexico (power rating: 6.3) holds a 4.3-point advantage over North Dakota State (2.0) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. New Mexico's home field adds 1.4 points to that advantage at University Stadium (NM). Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at University Stadium (NM), with a slighter reading for North Dakota State's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Dakota State vs New Mexico at University Stadium (NM)?

The latest reading for University Stadium (NM) shows Patchy rain nearby, 60°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Dakota State and New Mexico compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor New Mexico (6.3) over North Dakota State (2.0) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. New Mexico brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this New Mexico -7.0. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

60°F

Rain37%
Precip0.01"
Humidity79%
Wind5 mph ESE
Gusts12 mph
Wind map for North Dakota State at New Mexico: aerial view of University Stadium (NM), wind from the ESE at 5.4 mph, gusting to 11.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM MDT
Venue
University Stadium (NM)
Capacity
39,224
Elevation
5,121 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure North Dakota StateAway New MexicoHome
This week963 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game6,454 miles
Season total7,479 miles7,878 miles
Body clock21:0020:00
Rest8 days7 days

North Dakota State travels 963 miles to this game, a significant road trip. North Dakota State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.