Delaware (power rating: -13.1) holds a 5.2-point advantage over Missouri State (-18.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Delaware's home field adds 2.5 points to that advantage at Delaware Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Missouri State's trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The forecast for Delaware Stadium shows Clear, 58°F with winds of 9 mph. Gusts reaching 24 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. The weather adjustment is pre-filled in the line value calculator above; adjust it manually if conditions change before kickoff. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Delaware as 64% favorites to beat Missouri State (34%). That implies a market-derived spread of Delaware -4.2. The Blue Chip model makes it Delaware -7.7, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
58°F
| Measure | Missouri StateAway | DelawareHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 965 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,275 miles |
| Season total | 3,413 miles | 2,950 miles |
| Body clock | 18:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 7 days |
Missouri State travels 965 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Missouri State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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