Week 3
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

North Texas @ Texas State , Week 3, Sep 19, 2026

0-0 American Power rating: -0.3
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.2

Is there value in the North Texas vs Texas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TXST -1.5
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors UNTfavors TXST ▸
UNT
Adjust the power ratings by team
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TXST
no impact
no impact
no impact
TXST
1 UNT1 TXST2 UNT2 TXST3 UNT3 TXSTModel: TXST -1.5

North Texas (power rating: -0.3) carries a 1.9-point advantage over Texas State (-2.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) narrows that gap at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect North Texas vs Texas State at Bobcat Stadium (TX)?

The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Clear, 89°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do North Texas and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor North Texas (-0.3) over Texas State (-2.2) by 1.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Texas State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas State -1.5. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

89°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity45%
Wind3 mph SSW
Gusts7 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for North Texas at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the SSW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
11:00 AM CDT
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure North TexasAway Texas StateHome
This week233 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,677 miles59 miles
Body clock11:0011:00
Rest7 days7 days

North Texas travels 233 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.