North Texas (power rating: -0.6) carries a 5.5-point advantage over Navy (-6.1) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Navy's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1) narrows that gap at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges North Texas's bye week and the conditions, with a slighter reading for North Texas's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 65°F with winds of 17 mph. Wind of 17 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Patchy rain nearby
65°F
| Measure | North TexasAway | NavyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,219 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | 2,831 miles |
| Season total | 3,558 miles | 9,030 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 14 days | 6 days |
North Texas travels 1,219 miles to this game, a significant road trip. North Texas arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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