Week 7
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

Colorado State @ Texas State , Week 7, Oct 16, 2026

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -13.8
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.2

Is there value in the Colorado State vs Texas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TXST -14.3
Edge
No line posted
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◂ favors CSUfavors TXST ▸
11.6 › TXST
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1 CSU1 TXST2 CSU2 TXST3 CSU3 TXSTModel: TXST -14.3

Texas State (power rating: -2.2) holds a 11.6-point advantage over Colorado State (-13.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model also charges Colorado State's bye week and the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Colorado State vs Texas State at Bobcat Stadium (TX)?

The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Clear, 89°F, heat index 92°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Colorado State and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas State (-2.2) over Colorado State (-13.8) by 11.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas State -14.3. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

89°F

Rain1%
Precip0.00"
Humidity45%
Wind3 mph SSW
Gusts7 mph
Heat index92°F
Wind map for Colorado State at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the SSW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 7
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Colorado StateAway Texas StateHome
This week840 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total2,549 miles2,360 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest13 days12 days

Colorado State travels 840 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Colorado State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.