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Week 8 •
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

East Carolina @ Memphis

2-2 American Power rating: -4.3
4-1 American Power rating: 3.9

By · Last updated

Is there value in the East Carolina vs Memphis line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MEM -10.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors ECUfavors MEM ▸
8.2 › MEM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MEM
no impact
MEM
no impact
no impact
1 ECU1 MEM2 ECU2 MEMModel: MEM -10.8

Memphis (power rating: 3.9) holds a 8.2-point advantage over East Carolina (-4.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Memphis's home field adds 2.2 points to that advantage at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium. Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from East Carolina's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect East Carolina vs Memphis at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium?

The latest reading for Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium shows Clear, 77°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do East Carolina and Memphis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (3.9) over East Carolina (-4.3) by 8.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Memphis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on East Carolina and Memphis?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Memphis -10.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

77°F

Rain2%
Precip0.00"
Humidity54%
Wind6 mph SSE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for East Carolina at Memphis: aerial view of Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, wind from the SSE at 5.6 mph, gusting to 6.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
315 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

East CarolinaAway MemphisHome
This week713 miles0 miles
Last week1,114 miles714 miles
Season total3,249 miles7,618 miles
Body clock19:3018:30
Rest7 days6 days

East Carolina travels 713 miles to this game, a moderate road trip. East Carolina arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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