Week 12 •
Bobcat Stadium (TX)

Washington State @ Texas State , Week 12, Nov 21, 2026

1-4 Pac-12 Power rating: -8.4
2-3 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.4

Is there value in the Washington State vs Texas State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TXST -9.1
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors WSUfavors TXST ▸
6.0 › TXST
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1 WSU1 TXST2 WSU2 TXST3 WSU3 TXSTModel: TXST -9.1

Texas State (power rating: -2.4) holds a 6.0-point advantage over Washington State (-8.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model also charges Washington State's long trip and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Washington State vs Texas State at Bobcat Stadium (TX)?

The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Partly Cloudy, 79°F with winds of 15 mph. Wind of 15 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Washington State and Texas State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas State (-2.4) over Washington State (-8.4) by 6.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Texas State -9.1. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Partly Cloudy

79°F

Rain9%
Precip0.00"
Humidity78%
Wind15 mph SSE
Gusts27 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Washington State at Texas State: aerial view of Bobcat Stadium (TX), wind from the SSE at 15.2 mph, gusting to 26.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM CST
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Capacity
27,149
Elevation
600 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Washington StateAway Texas StateHome
This week1,554 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total7,832 miles8,549 miles
Body clock15:0017:00
Rest6 days7 days

Washington State travels 1,554 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. A trip of this length is worth roughly two thirds of a point to the home team on the measured evidence.