Week 8
Scott Stadium

Duke @ Virginia , Week 8, Oct 23, 2026

0-0 ACC Power rating: 5.2
0-0 ACC Power rating: 6.7

Is there value in the Duke vs Virginia line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UVA -3.2
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors DUKEfavors UVA ▸
UVA
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1 DUKE1 UVA2 DUKE2 UVAModel: UVA -3.2

Virginia (power rating: 6.7) holds a 1.5-point advantage over Duke (5.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Virginia's home field adds 1.7 points to that advantage at Scott Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Duke vs Virginia at Scott Stadium?

The latest reading for Scott Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 70°F with winds of 3 mph. There is a 74% chance of rain, though little accumulation is expected. Blue Chip has not been able to measure a reliable line effect from rain, so treat this as context rather than signal. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Duke and Virginia compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Virginia (6.7) over Duke (5.2) by 1.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Virginia brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Virginia -3.2. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of August 22, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

70°F

Rain74%
Precip0.05"
Humidity97%
Wind3 mph SW
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for Duke at Virginia: aerial view of Scott Stadium, wind from the SW at 3.4 mph, gusting to 6.8 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Scott Stadium
Capacity
61,500
Elevation
545 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Measure DukeAway VirginiaHome
This week142 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,178 miles
Season total1,993 miles3,882 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest6 days6 days

Duke travels 142 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.