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Week 5 •
Snapdragon Stadium

Texas State @ San Diego State

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.2
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -1.1

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Texas State vs San Diego State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SDSU -4.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TXSTfavors SDSU ▸
SDSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
SDSU
no impact
SDSU
no impact
no impact
1 TXST1 SDSU2 TXST2 SDSU3 TXST3 SDSUModel: SDSU -4.7

San Diego State (power rating: -1.1) holds a 1.1-point advantage over Texas State (-2.2) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. San Diego State's home field adds 2.7 points to that advantage at Snapdragon Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Texas State's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas State vs San Diego State at Snapdragon Stadium?

The latest reading for Snapdragon Stadium shows Clear, 76°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Texas State and San Diego State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San Diego State (-1.1) over Texas State (-2.2) by 1.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. San Diego State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas State and San Diego State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this San Diego State -4.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

76°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity65%
Wind7 mph NW
Gusts8 mph
Wind map for Texas State at San Diego State: aerial view of Snapdragon Stadium, wind from the NW at 6.9 mph, gusting to 7.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PDT
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
Capacity
35,000
Elevation
89 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

Texas StateAway San Diego StateHome
This week1,151 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game3,865 miles
Season total1,210 miles4,090 miles
Body clock21:3019:30
Rest8 days8 days

Texas State travels 1,151 miles to this game, a significant road trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

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