Louisiana (power rating: -4.1) carries a 14.5-point advantage over Southern Miss (-18.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Southern Miss's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5) narrows that gap at M. M. Roberts Stadium. Beyond home field, nothing else applies here - rest, travel, elevation and weather all read neutral for this matchup. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for M. M. Roberts Stadium shows Cloudy, 58°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Louisiana as 72% favorites to beat Southern Miss (25%). That implies a market-derived spread of Louisiana -6.9. The Blue Chip model makes it Louisiana -12.0, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Cloudy
58°F
| Measure | LouisianaAway | Southern MissHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 177 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | Home game |
| Season total | 5,109 miles | 1,101 miles |
| Body clock | 16:00 | 16:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Louisiana travels 177 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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