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Week 10 •
Reser Stadium

Texas State @ Oregon State

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -2.2
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -9.5

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Texas State vs Oregon State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
TXST -2.7
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors TXSTfavors ORST ▸
‹ 7.3 TXST
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ORST
no impact
ORST
no impact
no impact
2 TXST2 ORST4 TXST4 ORSTModel: TXST -2.7

Texas State (power rating: -2.2) carries a 7.3-point advantage over Oregon State (-9.5) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Oregon State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 3.7) narrows that gap at Reser Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges Texas State's westward trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Texas State vs Oregon State at Reser Stadium?

The latest reading for Reser Stadium shows Clear, 56°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Texas State and Oregon State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas State (-2.2) over Oregon State (-9.5) by 7.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oregon State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oregon State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas State and Oregon State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Texas State -2.7. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

56°F

Rain12%
Precip0.00"
Humidity88%
Wind4 mph NW
Gusts15 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Texas State at Oregon State: aerial view of Reser Stadium, wind from the NW at 4 mph, gusting to 15.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 10
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PST
Venue
Reser Stadium
Capacity
35,548
Elevation
233 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Texas StateAway Oregon StateHome
This week1,714 miles0 miles
Last week2,761 miles1,131 miles
Season total6,835 miles9,264 miles
Body clock21:3019:30
Rest7 days8 days

Texas State travels 1,714 miles to this game, a cross-country trip. That is a westward shift of 2 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

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