Fresno State (power rating: 2.2) carries a 4.6-point advantage over Texas State (-2.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9) narrows that gap at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model charges the conditions, with a slighter reading for Fresno State's trip. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Partly Cloudy, 79°F with winds of 15 mph. Wind of 15 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly Cloudy
79°F
| Measure | Fresno StateAway | Texas StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,346 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,090 miles | 3,428 miles |
| Season total | 5,126 miles | 8,549 miles |
| Body clock | 13:00 | 15:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 6 days |
Fresno State travels 1,346 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Fresno State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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