Texas State (power rating: -2.2) holds a 1.7-point advantage over Fresno State (-3.9) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Texas State's home field adds 2.9 points to that advantage at Bobcat Stadium (TX). Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from Fresno State's trip and the warm conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Bobcat Stadium (TX) shows Partly Cloudy, 81°F, heat index 84°F with winds of 14 mph. Gusts reaching 25 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Partly Cloudy
81°F

| Measure | Fresno StateAway | Texas StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,346 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 1,090 miles | 3,428 miles |
| Season total | 5,126 miles | 8,549 miles |
| Body clock | 13:00 | 15:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 6 days |
Fresno State travels 1,346 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Fresno State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.