Troy (power rating: -7.5) holds a 18.8-point advantage over UL Monroe (-26.3) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Troy's home field adds 1.8 points to that advantage at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL). Beyond home field, the model reads only a slight effect from the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) shows Patchy rain nearby, 64°F with winds of 7 mph. Gusts reaching 24 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Troy as 86% favorites to beat UL Monroe (13%). That implies a market-derived spread of Troy -12.3. The Blue Chip model makes it Troy -20.4, a notable divergence from the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Patchy rain nearby
64°F
| Measure | UL MonroeAway | TroyHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 362 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 755 miles |
| Season total | 1,910 miles | 5,137 miles |
| Body clock | 15:00 | 15:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 7 days |
UL Monroe travels 362 miles to this game, a short road trip. The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.
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