Week 8 •
Gesa Field

Boise State @ Washington State , Week 8, Oct 24, 2026

4-1 Pac-12 Power rating: 11.4
1-4 Pac-12 Power rating: -8.4

Is there value in the Boise State vs Washington State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
BOIS -17.8
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors BOISfavors WSU ▸
‹ 19.8 BOIS
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1 BOIS1 WSU2 BOIS2 WSUModel: BOIS -17.8

Boise State (power rating: 11.4) carries a 19.8-point advantage over Washington State (-8.4) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Washington State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3) narrows that gap at Gesa Field. Beyond home field, the model also charges Boise State's bye week and the conditions. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Boise State vs Washington State at Gesa Field?

The latest reading for Gesa Field shows Patchy rain nearby, 43°F, wind chill 35°F with winds of 17 mph. Wind of 17 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 27 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do Boise State and Washington State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Boise State (11.4) over Washington State (-8.4) by 19.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Washington State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Washington State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip makes this Boise State -17.8. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

43°F

Rain28%
Precip0.00"
Humidity84%
Wind17 mph WSW
Gusts27 mph
Wind chill35°F
Wind map for Boise State at Washington State: aerial view of Gesa Field, wind from the WSW at 17.2 mph, gusting to 27.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
03:00 PM PDT
Venue
Gesa Field
Capacity
32,952
Elevation
2,546 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure Boise StateAway Washington StateHome
This week221 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week664 miles
Season total5,011 miles4,354 miles
Body clock16:0015:00
Rest13 days7 days

Boise State travels 221 miles to this game, a short road trip. Boise State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.