San Diego State (power rating: -10.8) carries a 0.9-point advantage over Colorado State (-11.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0) narrows that gap at Canvas Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at Canvas Stadium, with a slighter reading for Colorado State's extra rest. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Canvas Stadium shows Clear, 59°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Prediction markets on Kalshi price Colorado State as 58% favorites to beat San Diego State (40%). That implies a market-derived spread of Colorado State -2.5. The Blue Chip model makes it Colorado State -2.4, in line with the Kalshi consensus. Use the line value calculator below to compare prediction market probabilities against your own line.
Clear
59°F
| Measure | San Diego StateAway | Colorado StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 856 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 1,679 miles |
| Season total | 6,700 miles | 3,389 miles |
| Body clock | 15:30 | 16:30 |
| Rest | 6 days | 8 days |
San Diego State travels 856 miles to this game, a significant road trip. San Diego State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.
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