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Week 8 •
Canvas Stadium

San Diego State @ Colorado State

0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -1.1
0-0 Pac-12 Power rating: -13.8

By · Last updated

Is there value in the San Diego State vs Colorado State line?

Market line
None posted
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SDSU -9.4
Edge
No line posted
See details
◂ favors SDSUfavors CSU ▸
‹ 12.7 SDSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CSU
CSU
no impact
CSU
no impact
1 SDSU1 CSU2 SDSU2 CSUModel: SDSU -9.4

San Diego State (power rating: -1.1) carries a 12.7-point advantage over Colorado State (-13.8) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Colorado State's home field (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0) narrows that gap at Canvas Stadium. Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at Canvas Stadium, with a slighter reading for Colorado State's extra rest. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect San Diego State vs Colorado State at Canvas Stadium?

The latest reading for Canvas Stadium shows Patchy rain nearby, 71°F with winds of 5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

How do San Diego State and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San Diego State (-1.1) over Colorado State (-13.8) by 12.7 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on San Diego State and Colorado State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this San Diego State -9.4. No market line is posted yet for comparison.

Conditions

as of September 5, 2026 Preliminary

Patchy rain nearby

71°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity52%
Wind5 mph ESE
Gusts7 mph
Wind map for San Diego State at Colorado State: aerial view of Canvas Stadium, wind from the ESE at 4.7 mph, gusting to 7.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
04:30 PM MDT
Venue
Canvas Stadium
Capacity
41,000
Elevation
5,010 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

San Diego StateAway Colorado StateHome
This week856 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,679 miles
Season total6,700 miles3,389 miles
Body clock15:3016:30
Rest6 days8 days

San Diego State travels 856 miles to this game, a significant road trip. San Diego State arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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