Arkansas State (power rating: -9.0) holds a 9.6-point advantage over Georgia State (-18.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Arkansas State's home field adds 3.1 points to that advantage at Centennial Bank Stadium. Beyond home field, the model also charges the heat. The weather component is provisional until the game-time reading is confirmed. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.
The latest reading for Centennial Bank Stadium shows Clear, 88°F, heat index 90°F with winds of 13 mph. Gusts reaching 30 mph add variance to the kicking and passing game. Games with gusts at or above 30 mph have seen the total move down by about 1.4 points. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
88°F

| Measure | Georgia StateAway | Arkansas StateHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 385 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | 895 miles | 642 miles |
| Season total | 2,127 miles | 2,441 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 18:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 7 days |
Georgia State travels 385 miles to this game, a short road trip. Georgia State arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.