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Week 8 •
Rice-Eccles Stadium

Houston @ Utah

4-1 Big 12 Power rating: 11.6
4-0 Big 12 Power rating: 20.5

By · Last updated

Is there value in the Houston vs Utah line?

Market line
UTAH -6.5
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
UTAH -13.2
Edge
+6.7UTAH
See details
◂ favors HOUfavors UTAH ▸Market: UTAH -6.5
8.9 › UTAH
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
UTAH
no impact
UTAH
UTAH
no impact
2 HOU2 UTAH4 HOU4 UTAH6 HOU6 UTAHModel: UTAH -13.2

Betting information

Spread
UTAH -6.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
HOU 22.0 – 28.5 UTAH

DraftKings · as of October 7, 2026

Utah (power rating: 20.5) holds a 8.9-point advantage over Houston (11.6) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. Utah's home field adds 3.0 points to that advantage at Rice-Eccles Stadium. The market line is Utah -6.5 and our model shows Utah -13.2; Major model-market disagreement - verify the inputs. Beyond home field, the model charges the altitude at Rice-Eccles Stadium, with a slighter reading for Houston's trip. Adjust the factors in the tool above to test your own numbers.

Does weather affect Houston vs Utah at Rice-Eccles Stadium?

The latest reading for Rice-Eccles Stadium shows Clear, 57°F with winds of 2 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. It was taken before the ~10-day forecast window opened, so it describes the furthest hour the forecast reached rather than kickoff itself, and it is replaced once the game comes inside the window. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What do prediction markets say about Houston vs Utah?

Prediction market pricing is not yet available for this game. The bookmaker spread of Utah -6.5 sets the line for now. The Blue Chip model makes it Utah -13.2; see the line value calculator below for the full breakdown.

How do Houston and Utah compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Utah (20.5) over Houston (11.6) by 8.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Utah brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Houston and Utah?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Blue Chip makes this Utah -13.2, 6.7 points toward Utah against the market.

Conditions

as of October 13, 2026 Preliminary

Clear

57°F

Rain4%
Precip0.00"
Humidity48%
Wind2 mph SW
Gusts3 mph
Wind map for Houston at Utah: aerial view of Rice-Eccles Stadium, wind from the SW at 1.6 mph, gusting to 2.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 8
Kickoff (local)
10:00 PM MDT
Venue
Rice-Eccles Stadium
Capacity
51,444
Elevation
4,656 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

HoustonAway UtahHome
This week1,200 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game702 miles
Season total5,100 miles2,599 miles
Body clock23:0022:00
Rest7 days7 days

Houston travels 1,200 miles to this game, a significant road trip. Houston arrives with a 1-hour westward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

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